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Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 6

Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

2 – 0 Full time

Estadio Caliente, TijuanaReferee: César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico

Club Tijuana 43%
Draw 28%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClub TijuanaDrawU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Model42.6%29.4%27.9%
Market42.6%27.6%29.8%
Final42.6%28.1%29.3%
Edge-0.0%+1.9%-1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Club Tijuana

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 1.08.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Club Tijuana ↓ / U.N.A.M. - Pum → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Club Tijuana and U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals

Club Tijuana 1.38
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.46

Club Tijuana and U.N.A.M. - Pumas attack and defence ratings

Club Tijuana

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.07 +7%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: result vs prediction

Club Tijuana 2 – 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 6 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club Tijuana 42.6% 2.35 -0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.5% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Club Tijuana42.6%
Draw28.1%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.5%
Under 2.555.5%
Both teams to scoreYes50.6%
No49.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1Club Tijuana win20.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss57.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-010.6%
0-09.9%

Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas stats

Club Tijuana and U.N.A.M. - Pumas recent form

newest first
Club Tijuana LWLLLD
U.N.A.M. - Pumas DDDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Club Tijuana and U.N.A.M. - Pumas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Club Tijuana record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

U.N.A.M. - Pumas record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Club Tijuana wins 4Draws 4U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28Club TijuanaU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX1-1
2025-11-02U.N.A.M. - PumasClub TijuanaLiga MX4-1
2025-02-26Club TijuanaU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX4-2
2024-09-22U.N.A.M. - PumasClub TijuanaLiga MX1-0
2024-03-10U.N.A.M. - PumasClub TijuanaLiga MX3-3
2023-07-01Club TijuanaU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX2-3
2023-01-28Club TijuanaU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX0-0
2022-07-03U.N.A.M. - PumasClub TijuanaLiga MX1-1
2022-02-06Club TijuanaU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX1-0
2021-10-24U.N.A.M. - PumasClub TijuanaLiga MX3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 27.6%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.50 2.95
1xBet 2.20 3.30 3.16
Bet365 2.20 3.40 3.25
BetVictor 2.15 3.40 3.10
Betano 2.25 3.35 3.20
Betfair 2.20 3.50 3.00
Dafabet 2.21 3.45 3.25
Marathonbet 2.18 3.30 3.15
Pinnacle 2.23 3.43 3.23
SBO 2.08 3.15 3.02
Superbet 2.20 3.40 3.25
Unibet 2.25 3.30 2.90
William Hill 2.10 3.10 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.04
X 3.40 ▼ -0.20
2 3.15 ▲ +0.25

14 snapshots recorded, from .