Atletico San Luis
vs
Santos Laguna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atletico San Luis
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna
| Probability | Atletico San Luis | Draw | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.6% | 26.5% | 30.9% |
| Market | 48.2% | 25.8% | 26.0% |
| Final | 46.8% | 25.9% | 27.2% |
| Edge | -5.6% | +0.8% | +4.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna match preview
Atletico San Luis hosts Santos Laguna in a Liga MX clash with Atletico San Luis holding a 47% chance of victory compared to Santos Laguna's 27%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a draw rated at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Atletico San Luis, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.61 for Atletico San Luis and 1.35 for Santos Laguna.
Recent form shows Atletico San Luis with two wins in their last five matches, while Santos Laguna has also secured three wins but faced two losses in the same timeframe. In their last two encounters, Atletico San Luis has won both matches against Santos Laguna, indicating a favorable trend for the home side. The probabilities suggest a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals (57%) and both teams scoring (60%).
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna attack and defence ratings
Atletico San Luis
Santos Laguna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 46.8% | 2.14 | -5.6% | 2.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 46.8% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Santos Laguna | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% |
| No | 39.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico San Luis win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna stats
Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna recent form
| Atletico San Luis |
WWLLWD |
| Santos Laguna |
WWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna season so far
Atletico San Luis record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Santos Laguna record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Atletico San Luis | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Santos Laguna | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.2%, draw 25.8%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.58 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.65 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.58 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.77 | 3.70 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.17 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .