Liga MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 11
Atletico San Luis
vs
Santos Laguna
1 – 2 Full time
| 19′ | Oscar Macias | ||
| 34′ | Tahiel Adrian Jimenez | ||
| 64′ | Tahiel Adrian Jimenez | ||
| 65′ | Tahiel Adrian Jimenez | ||
| 69′ | Ramiro SordoEmmanuel Echeverria | ||
| 69′ | Anderson DuarteSebastián Pérez Bouquet | ||
| 70′ | Felipe MoraLucas Esteves | ||
| 76′ | David RodriguezLuis Ronaldo Najera Reyna | ||
| 76′ | Aldo CruzRoberto Meraz | ||
| 79′ | Francisco VillalbaAldo Lopez | ||
| 79′ | Tahiel Adrian JimenezEsteban Lozano | ||
| 86′ | Benjamín GalindoLeonardo Flores | ||
| 87′ | Diego GonzálezKevin Palacios | ||
| 87′ | Ezequiel BullaudeEduardo Aguirre |
Atletico San Luis
46%
Draw
26%
Santos Laguna
28%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 503 | Accurate passes | 380 |
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna
| Probability | Atletico San Luis | Draw | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.7% | 26.5% | 30.8% |
| Market | 47.3% | 25.9% | 26.9% |
| Final | 46.1% | 26.0% | 27.8% |
| Edge | -1.1% | +0.1% | +1.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna expected goals
Atletico San Luis
1.61
Santos Laguna
1.35
Total expected goals: 2.96
Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna attack and defence ratings
Atletico San Luis
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
1.27 +27%
Santos Laguna
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna: result vs prediction
Atletico San Luis 1 – 2 Santos Laguna
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 46.1% | 2.17 | -1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 46.1% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Santos Laguna | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% |
| No | 39.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico San Luis win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna stats
Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna recent form
| Atletico San Luis |
WWLLWD |
| Santos Laguna |
WWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna going into this match
Atletico San Luis record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Santos Laguna record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Atletico San Luis wins
1Draws
4Santos Laguna wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Atletico San Luis | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Santos Laguna | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 1-4 |
| 2025-03-30 | Santos Laguna | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 2-3 |
| 2024-09-29 | Atletico San Luis | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-29 | Santos Laguna | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 0-3 |
| 2023-11-11 | Atletico San Luis | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 0-2 |
| 2023-02-18 | Atletico San Luis | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-29 | Santos Laguna | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 4-1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Atletico San Luis | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 1-3 |
| 2021-11-21 | Santos Laguna | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 25.9%, away 26.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.58 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.58 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 3.81 | 3.54 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.23 | 3.08 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.00 ▲ +0.08
X
3.65 ▲ +0.03
2
3.52 ▼ -0.02
18 snapshots recorded, from .