FC Juarez
vs
Atlante FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Juarez
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Juarez vs Atlante FC
| Probability | FC Juarez | Draw | Atlante FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.5% | 27.9% | 31.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.5% | 27.9% | 31.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC match preview
FC Juarez and Atlante FC are set to clash in a Liga MX match with kickoff scheduled for October 21, 2026. According to our model, FC Juarez has a 41% probability of winning, while Atlante FC stands at 31%, and a draw is estimated at 28%. The expected goals for FC Juarez are 1.45, compared to Atlante FC's 1.24. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of FC Juarez, with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, our model indicates a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% probability that both teams will score. Recent form shows FC Juarez with a mixed record of one win in their last six matches, while Atlante FC has experienced two wins in their last six. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Juarez and Atlante FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
FC Juarez and Atlante FC attack and defence ratings
FC Juarez
Atlante FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Juarez | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Juarez | 40.5% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Atlante FC | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Juarez win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-0 | 8.3% |
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC stats
FC Juarez and Atlante FC recent form
| FC Juarez |
DLWLLL |
| Atlante FC |
LLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Juarez and Atlante FC season so far
FC Juarez record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlante FC record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).