Atlante FC
vs
Atletico San Luis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atlante FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis
| Probability | Atlante FC | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 25.7% | 32.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.6% | 25.7% | 32.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis match preview
Atlante FC faces Atletico San Luis in a Liga MX matchup where the probabilities indicate a competitive contest. Atlante FC has a 42% chance of winning, while Atletico San Luis stands at 33%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Atlante FC, with an expected goals tally of 1.67 for Atlante and 1.47 for Atletico San Luis.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Atlante FC recording two losses, one win, two draws in their last five matches, while Atletico San Luis has alternated between wins and losses. The model suggests a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlante FC and Atletico San Luis expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Atlante FC and Atletico San Luis attack and defence ratings
Atlante FC
Atletico San Luis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlante FC | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlante FC | 41.6% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Atletico San Luis | 32.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% |
| No | 36.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlante FC win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis stats
Atlante FC and Atletico San Luis recent form
| Atlante FC |
LLWDLD |
| Atletico San Luis |
LWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlante FC and Atletico San Luis season so far
Atlante FC record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Atletico San Luis record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.