Atletico San Luis
vs
Atlas
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atletico San Luis
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.39.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Atletico San Luis vs Atlas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico San Luis vs Atlas
| Probability | Atletico San Luis | Draw | Atlas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.3% | 23.4% | 25.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.3% | 23.4% | 25.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atletico San Luis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Atletico San Luis vs Atlas match preview
Atletico San Luis is projected to have a 51% chance of winning against Atlas, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1, occurring with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Atletico San Luis stand at 2.02, while Atlas is expected to score 1.39. Both teams have a 66% probability of scoring, and there is also a 66% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Atletico San Luis has recorded two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Atlas has a mixed record with two wins, two draws, and one loss. The head-to-head results from the last two encounters show that each team has won once. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico San Luis and Atlas expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
Atletico San Luis and Atlas attack and defence ratings
Atletico San Luis
Atlas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico San Luis vs Atlas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 51.3% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Atlas | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% |
| No | 33.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico San Luis win | 30.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 48.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.7% |
Atletico San Luis vs Atlas stats
Atletico San Luis and Atlas recent form
| Atletico San Luis |
WWDLWW |
| Atlas |
LWDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico San Luis and Atlas season so far
Atletico San Luis record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
Atlas record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico San Luis vs Atlas head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Atlas | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 3-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Atletico San Luis | Atlas | Liga MX | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.