FC Juarez
vs
Club Queretaro
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Queretaro
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.11.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro
| Probability | FC Juarez | Draw | Club Queretaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.7% | 28.7% | 43.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.7% | 28.7% | 43.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Club Queretaro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro match preview
FC Juarez faces Club Queretaro in a Liga MX matchup with FC Juarez holding a 28% probability of winning, while Club Queretaro stands at 44%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with FC Juarez recording D-L-L-D-L-W and Club Queretaro at L-L-W-W-D-W.
In terms of expected goals, FC Juarez is projected to score 1.11, while Club Queretaro is forecasted at 1.45. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47%, and both teams scoring is at 53%. Historically, in their last two encounters, FC Juarez has not secured a win, with one draw and one victory for Club Queretaro. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Juarez and Club Queretaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
FC Juarez and Club Queretaro attack and defence ratings
FC Juarez
Club Queretaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Queretaro | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Juarez | 27.7% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Club Queretaro | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Queretaro win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 9.9% | |
| 1-2 | 9.0% |
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro stats
FC Juarez and Club Queretaro recent form
| FC Juarez |
DLLDLW |
| Club Queretaro |
LLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Juarez and Club Queretaro season so far
FC Juarez record
- They have won 1 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Queretaro record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Club Queretaro | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | FC Juarez | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.