Leon
vs
Real Salt Lake
3 – 0 Full time
Leon vs Real Salt Lake overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leon vs Real Salt Lake
| Probability | Leon | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.4% | 24.1% | 22.5% |
| Market | 30.0% | 26.7% | 43.3% |
| Final | 35.8% | 26.1% | 38.1% |
| Edge | +23.5% | -2.6% | -20.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leon and Real Salt Lake expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Leon and Real Salt Lake attack and defence ratings
Leon
Real Salt Lake
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leon vs Real Salt Lake: result vs prediction
Leon 3 – 0 Real Salt Lake
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Leon vs Real Salt Lake markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Salt Lake | 38.1% | 2.63 | -20.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leon | 35.8% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Real Salt Lake | 38.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% |
| No | 39.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Salt Lake win | 9.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.1% | |
| Loss | 77.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.1% |
Leon vs Real Salt Lake stats
Leon and Real Salt Lake recent form
| Leon |
WWWWWW |
| Real Salt Lake |
LLDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leon and Real Salt Lake going into this match
Leon record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Leon vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-05 | Leon | Real Salt Lake | Leagues Cup | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leon vs Real Salt Lake odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 26.7%, away 43.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.05 | 3.55 | 2.18 |
| 1xBet | 3.13 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.50 | 2.14 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.16 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18 | 3.63 | 2.22 |
| SBO | 2.94 | 3.28 | 2.15 |
| Superbet | 3.15 | 3.55 | 2.22 |
| Unibet | 3.30 | 3.55 | 2.07 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .