Atlanta United FC
vs
Sporting Kansas City
2 – 1 Full time
Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
| Probability | Atlanta United FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.7% | 21.2% | 16.1% |
| Market | 56.0% | 22.8% | 21.3% |
| Final | 57.6% | 22.4% | 20.0% |
| Edge | +6.7% | -1.6% | -5.1% |
Why Atlanta United FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Atlanta United FC below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlanta United FC and Sporting Kansas City expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.28
Atlanta United FC and Sporting Kansas City attack and defence ratings
Atlanta United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: result vs prediction
Atlanta United FC 2 – 1 Sporting Kansas City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
- Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
- New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire — match page
- CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
- Inter Miami v Toronto FC — match page
- Charlotte vs DC United — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
- St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo — match page
Before and after this match
Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlanta United FC | 57.6% | 1.73 | +6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Atlanta United FC win | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlanta United FC | 57.6% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Sporting Kansas City | 20.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlanta United FC win | 40.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 37.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City stats
Atlanta United FC and Sporting Kansas City recent form
| Atlanta United FC |
WWLLDL |
| Sporting Kansas City |
DLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlanta United FC and Sporting Kansas City going into this match
Atlanta United FC record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting Kansas City record
- They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 22 matches.
Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.4%, draw 22.4%, away 21.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.63 | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| 888Sport | 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 4.33 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 4.15 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 4.32 | 4.66 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.82 | 4.06 |
| Superbet | 1.71 | 4.10 | 4.45 |
| Unibet | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.35 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .