Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 23
FC Dallas
vs
Sporting Kansas City
4 – 3 Full time
| -5′ | Emir Karić | ||
| 4′ | T. Calheira | ||
| 19′ | S. Afrifa | ||
| 27′ | L. Farrington | ||
| 30′ | P. Musa | ||
| 45′ | Kaick | ||
| 58′ | Andre LuizS. Suleymanov | ||
| 62′ | H. JohanssonS. Ibeagha | ||
| 62′ | RamiroC. Cappis | ||
| 66′ | S. AfrifaS. Reid | ||
| 75′ | J. ValienteR. Binyamin | ||
| 75′ | L. FarringtonS. Moreno | ||
| 78′ | T. Calheira | ||
| 81′ | N. NorrisS. Sarver | ||
| 85′ | J. ReynoldsJ. Miller | ||
| 85′ | E. KaricJ. Reid | ||
| 88′ | Moises Mosquera | ||
| 90′ | P. Musa |
FC Dallas
71%
Draw
17%
Sporting Kansas City
12%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 26 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 7 | Saves | 5 |
| 300 | Accurate passes | 413 |
FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City
| Probability | FC Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.8% | 17.2% | 12.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 70.8% | 17.2% | 12.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Dallas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.66 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City expected goals
FC Dallas
2.66
Sporting Kansas City
1.05
Total expected goals: 3.72
FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City attack and defence ratings
FC Dallas
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Sporting Kansas City
Attack
0.63 -37%
Defence
1.38 +38%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City: result vs prediction
FC Dallas 4 – 3 Sporting Kansas City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
- New York City FC vs Nashville SC
- Orlando City SC v San Diego — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal — team news & stats
- Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
- Columbus Crew v Colorado Rapids — match page
- Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC
- Charlotte v Houston Dynamo — match page
- Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
Before and after this match
FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Dallas | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Dallas win | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Dallas | 70.8% |
| Draw | 17.2% | |
| Sporting Kansas City | 12.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Dallas win | 50.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 29.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-0 | 8.6% | |
| 3-1 | 8.1% |
FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City stats
FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City recent form
| FC Dallas |
DLWWLW |
| Sporting Kansas City |
LLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City going into this match
FC Dallas record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Sporting Kansas City record
- They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 22 matches.
FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5FC Dallas wins
1Draws
4Sporting Kansas City wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-15 | Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 2-4 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Dallas | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-20 | FC Dallas | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-11 | Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas | US Open Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-08 | Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 3-2 |
| 2023-06-01 | Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-19 | FC Dallas | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-09 | FC Dallas | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-11 | Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas | US Open Cup | 4-2 |
| 2022-05-01 | Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.8%, draw 19.1%, away 15.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.42 | 4.85 | 6.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.80 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 4.90 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 5.19 | 6.44 |
| SBO | 1.40 | 4.22 | 5.03 |
| Unibet | 1.43 | 4.75 | 6.10 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.41 ▲ +0.03
X
5.00 ▲ +0.10
2
6.44 ▼ -0.26
23 snapshots recorded, from .