Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Charlotte
vs
FC Dallas
3 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Logan Farrington | ||
| 45′ | Lalas AbubakarSebastien Ibeagha | ||
| 60′ | Logan FarringtonPetar Musa | ||
| 60′ | Patrickson DelgadoSantiago Moreno | ||
| 60′ | David SchneggHarry Toffolo | ||
| 60′ | Brandt BronicoLuca De La Torre | ||
| 64′ | Petar Musa | ||
| 69′ | Liel AbadaRodolfo Aloko | ||
| 69′ | Nathan ByrneWill Cleary | ||
| 70′ | Idan Toklomati Jorno | ||
| 74′ | Harry Toffolo | ||
| 75′ | Herman JohanssonBernard Kamungo | ||
| 79′ | Osaze Urhoghide | ||
| 84′ | Joaquín Valiente CioliDaniel Job | ||
| 86′ | Morrison Agyemang | ||
| 90′ | Idan Toklomati Jorno | ||
| 90′ | Allan Saint-MaximinDjibril Diani |
Charlotte
45%
Draw
25%
FC Dallas
30%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 14 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 398 | Accurate passes | 298 |
Charlotte vs FC Dallas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charlotte vs FC Dallas
| Probability | Charlotte | Draw | FC Dallas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.9% | 24.9% | 22.2% |
| Market | 42.8% | 24.8% | 32.5% |
| Final | 45.3% | 24.8% | 29.9% |
| Edge | +2.5% | +0.0% | -2.6% |
Why Charlotte
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.13.
- The market prices Charlotte below our published probability: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Charlotte and FC Dallas expected goals
Charlotte
1.84
FC Dallas
1.13
Total expected goals: 2.97
Charlotte and FC Dallas attack and defence ratings
Charlotte
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
0.79 -21%
FC Dallas
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Charlotte vs FC Dallas: result vs prediction
Charlotte 3 – 2 FC Dallas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs CF Montreal — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs New York City FC
- Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake — team news & stats
- New York Red Bulls vs San Diego
- Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati — match page
- New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs DC United
Before and after this match
Charlotte vs FC Dallas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlotte | 45.3% | 2.21 | +2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlotte | 45.3% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| FC Dallas | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charlotte win | 30.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Charlotte vs FC Dallas stats
Charlotte and FC Dallas recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charlotte and FC Dallas going into this match
Charlotte record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Dallas record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Charlotte vs FC Dallas head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Charlotte wins
1Draws
0FC Dallas wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-22 | FC Dallas | Charlotte | Leagues Cup | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Charlotte vs FC Dallas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 24.8%, away 32.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.90 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.66 | 2.84 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.97 | 3.02 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.46 | 2.73 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▲ +0.30
X
3.80 —
2
2.90 ▼ -0.60
36 snapshots recorded, from .