Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 29

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders

1 – 0 Full time

58′Nouhou ToloJordan Morris
59′Kalani Kossa-RienziAlexander Roldan
63′Kaick da Silva Ferreira
66′Sebastian GomezJesús Ferreira
74′Santiago MorenoPatrickson Delgado
74′Joaquín Valiente CioliChristian Cappis
81′Patrickson Delgado
82′Bernard KamungoHerman Johansson
83′Snyder BrunellPeter Kingston
83′stuar hawkinsCaden Clark
90′Daniel

Toyota Stadium(Texas), FriscoReferee: Jon Freemon

FC Dallas 47%
Draw 24%
Seattle Sounders 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
43 Possession % 57
7 Corners 11
6 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 2
7 Saves 2
297 Accurate passes 409

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC DallasDrawSeattle Sounders
Model33.7%26.1%40.2%
Market51.6%23.6%24.8%
Final47.1%24.2%28.7%
Edge-4.5%+0.6%+3.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Dallas ↓ / Seattle Sounde → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders expected goals

FC Dallas 1.46
Seattle Sounders 1.61

Total expected goals: 3.07

FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders attack and defence ratings

FC Dallas

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Seattle Sounders

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: result vs prediction

FC Dallas 1 – 0 Seattle Sounders

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Dallas 47.1% 2.12 -4.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.3% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.4% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Dallas47.1%
Draw24.2%
Seattle Sounders28.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.3%
Under 2.540.7%
Both teams to scoreYes62.6%
No37.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.3%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)52.9%
Handicap -1FC Dallas win16.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss66.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-28.8%
2-18.0%

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders stats

FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders recent form

newest first
FC Dallas LWDWWW
Seattle Sounders WWWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Dallas record

  • They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Seattle Sounders record

  • They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1FC Dallas wins 3Draws 6Seattle Sounders wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Seattle SoundersFC DallasMajor League Soccer2-1
2025-05-24Seattle SoundersFC DallasMajor League Soccer1-0
2025-04-13FC DallasSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer0-1
2024-06-23Seattle SoundersFC DallasMajor League Soccer3-2
2024-04-14FC DallasSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer0-0
2023-11-11Seattle SoundersFC DallasMajor League Soccer1-0
2023-11-05FC DallasSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer3-1
2023-10-31Seattle SoundersFC DallasMajor League Soccer2-0
2023-09-17FC DallasSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer1-1
2023-07-16Seattle SoundersFC DallasMajor League Soccer1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.6%, draw 23.6%, away 24.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.80 4.00 4.10
BetVictor 1.80 4.00 3.80
Betano 1.90 4.05 3.95
Betfair 1.83 4.20 3.80
Dafabet 1.86 4.10 3.90
Marathonbet 1.83 3.85 3.70
Pinnacle 1.83 4.20 3.87
SBO 1.84 3.57 3.54
William Hill 1.83 3.75 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▲ +0.17
X 4.00 ▼ -0.05
2 3.80 ▼ -0.60

20 snapshots recorded, from .