FC Dallas
vs
Seattle Sounders
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Dallas
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders
| Probability | FC Dallas | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 26.8% | 31.5% |
| Market | 55.8% | 22.7% | 21.5% |
| Final | 52.3% | 23.7% | 24.0% |
| Edge | -14.0% | +4.1% | +10.0% |
Why FC Dallas
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders match preview
FC Dallas hosts Seattle Sounders in a matchup where the home side has a 52% probability of winning, while both teams share a 24% chance of a draw or an away victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of FC Dallas, with an expected goal tally of 1.58 for Dallas and 1.35 for Seattle. Additionally, there is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 60% likelihood that both teams will find the net.
In terms of recent form, FC Dallas has recorded four wins, two draws, and no losses in their last six matches, whereas Seattle Sounders have three wins, three draws, and no losses in their recent outings. Historically, Seattle Sounders have dominated their last three encounters with FC Dallas, winning all three. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders attack and defence ratings
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — team news & stats
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
- CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — match page
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page
- St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
- Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes
- Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FC — match page
Before and after this match
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Dallas | 52.3% | 1.91 | -14.0% | 1.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Dallas | 52.3% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Seattle Sounders | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% |
| No | 40.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Dallas win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders stats
FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders recent form
| FC Dallas |
WDWWWD |
| Seattle Sounders |
WWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders season so far
FC Dallas record
- They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Seattle Sounders record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Seattle Sounders | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Seattle Sounders | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Dallas | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.8%, draw 22.7%, away 21.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.15 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .