Houston Dynamo
vs
FC Dallas
Garuda Lions Prediction: Houston Dynamo
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas
| Probability | Houston Dynamo | Draw | FC Dallas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.9% | 27.8% | 30.3% |
| Market | 42.6% | 26.8% | 30.6% |
| Final | 42.5% | 27.0% | 30.5% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +1.0% | -0.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.33, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas match preview
Houston Dynamo will face FC Dallas in an upcoming Major League Soccer match with a kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities indicate a 44% chance of a Houston Dynamo win, a 27% likelihood of a draw, and a 29% chance for FC Dallas to secure victory. The expected goals for Houston Dynamo stand at 1.50, while FC Dallas is projected to score 1.24.
In terms of recent form, Houston Dynamo has recorded two draws, two losses, and one win in their last five matches, while FC Dallas has been more successful, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Houston Dynamo, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% probability that both teams will score.
Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas team news
Houston Dynamo news
- Felipe Andrade — injury
- J. Maurer — concussion
FC Dallas news
- A. A. Julio Santos — lower-body injury
- Geovane Jesus — knee injury
- L. Farrington — lower-body injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas attack and defence ratings
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v DC United — match page
- New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami
- New England Revolution v Chicago Fire — match page
- New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC
- Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
- Austin v Vancouver Whitecaps — match page
- Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Houston Dynamo | 42.5% | 2.35 | -0.7% | 2.33 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Houston Dynamo | 42.5% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| FC Dallas | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% |
| No | 43.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Houston Dynamo win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 58.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas stats
Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas recent form
| Houston Dynamo |
DDLDLW |
| FC Dallas |
WLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas season so far
Houston Dynamo record
- They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
FC Dallas record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | FC Dallas | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 4-3 |
| 2026-02-11 | FC Dallas | Houston Dynamo | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-18 | FC Dallas | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Houston Dynamo | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-07 | FC Dallas | Houston Dynamo | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-19 | Houston Dynamo | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-28 | FC Dallas | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Houston Dynamo | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-21 | FC Dallas | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-19 | Houston Dynamo | FC Dallas | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 26.8%, away 30.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.23 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.40 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33 | 3.51 | 3.07 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 3.08 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .