Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
San Diego
vs
Houston Dynamo
3 – 3 Full time
| 4′ | Lawrence Ennali | ||
| 19′ | Jonathan Bond | ||
| 20′ | Anders Dreyer | ||
| 22′ | Cédric Bakambu | ||
| 24′ | Guilherme Augusto | ||
| 33′ | Mateusz Bogusz | ||
| 37′ | Guilherme Augusto | ||
| 44′ | Guilherme Augusto | ||
| 45′ | Lyle FosterDuncan McGuire | ||
| 53′ | kieran sargeant | ||
| 58′ | Alejandro Alvarado JrDavid Mimbang | ||
| 58′ | Onni ValakariGabriel Pirani | ||
| 58′ | Cédric BakambuMarcus Ingvartsen | ||
| 76′ | kieran sargeantAníbal Godoy | ||
| 76′ | Elias AchouriAmahl Pellegrino | ||
| 77′ | Anders Dreyer | ||
| 77′ | Guilherme AugustoIbrahim Aliyu | ||
| 78′ | Agustín BouzatAgustin Resch | ||
| 79′ | Aníbal Godoy | ||
| 86′ | Gabriel Pirani | ||
| 88′ | Mateusz BoguszDuane Holmes | ||
| 90′ | Lawrence EnnaliMarcelo Saracchi |
San Diego
41%
Draw
26%
Houston Dynamo
33%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 597 | Accurate passes | 364 |
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Diego vs Houston Dynamo
| Probability | San Diego | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.9% | 27.7% | 39.4% |
| Market | 43.7% | 26.1% | 30.3% |
| Final | 41.0% | 26.5% | 32.6% |
| Edge | -2.7% | +0.4% | +2.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
San Diego and Houston Dynamo expected goals
San Diego
1.32
Houston Dynamo
1.46
Total expected goals: 2.79
San Diego and Houston Dynamo attack and defence ratings
San Diego
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.35 +35%
Houston Dynamo
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo: result vs prediction
San Diego 3 – 3 Houston Dynamo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — team news & stats
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
- CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — match page
- DC United vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
- Inter Miami v New York City FC — match page
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
Before and after this match
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Diego | 41.0% | 2.44 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Diego | 41.0% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Houston Dynamo | 32.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Diego win | 15.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 67.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo stats
San Diego and Houston Dynamo recent form
| San Diego |
LDDLLL |
| Houston Dynamo |
DLDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Diego and Houston Dynamo going into this match
San Diego record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Houston Dynamo record
- They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1San Diego wins
0Draws
2Houston Dynamo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Houston Dynamo | San Diego | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Houston Dynamo | San Diego | Major League Soccer | 2-4 |
| 2025-07-06 | San Diego | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 3-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.7%, draw 26.1%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.54 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.72 | 3.19 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.36 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.15 ▲ +0.25
X
3.60 ▼ -0.15
2
3.10 ▼ -0.40
20 snapshots recorded, from .