Major League Soccer Β· Β·Matchday 29

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

Garuda Lions Prediction: Columbus Crew

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus

Columbus Crew 43%
Draw 26%
Charlotte 31%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Columbus Crew wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
57%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColumbus CrewDrawCharlotte
Model32.0%27.9%40.0%
Market46.9%25.0%28.1%
Final43.2%25.7%31.1%
Edge-14.8%+3.0%+11.9%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.02, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte match preview

Columbus Crew faces Charlotte in an upcoming match with Columbus Crew holding a 43% probability of winning, while Charlotte stands at 31%. Recent form shows Columbus Crew with two wins and three losses in their last six matches, whereas Charlotte has been more consistent, recording three wins, two draws, and one loss. The expected goals for Columbus Crew are 1.28, compared to Charlotte's 1.45, indicating a competitive matchup.

In their last three encounters, Columbus Crew has secured one victory, while Charlotte has won twice. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Columbus Crew, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% likelihood that both teams will score. This matchup presents intriguing dynamics as both teams aim to secure crucial points.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Columbus Crew ↓ / Charlotte β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Columbus Crew and Charlotte expected goals

Columbus Crew 1.28
Charlotte 1.45

Total expected goals: 2.73

Columbus Crew and Charlotte attack and defence ratings

Columbus Crew

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Charlotte

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Columbus Crew 43.2% 2.32 -14.8% 2.02
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.4% 1.94 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 56.5% 1.77 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 68.0% 1.47 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Columbus Crew43.2%
Draw25.7%
Charlotte31.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.4%
Under 2.548.6%
Both teams to scoreYes56.5%
No43.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.9%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)56.8%
Handicap -1Columbus Crew win14.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss68.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-28.8%
0-18.2%

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte stats

Columbus Crew and Charlotte recent form

newest first
Columbus Crew WWLLLW
Charlotte LWDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Columbus Crew and Charlotte season so far

league record

Columbus Crew record

  • They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Charlotte record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Columbus Crew wins 0Draws 2Charlotte wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-15CharlotteColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer3-1
2025-05-24CharlotteColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer3-2
2025-05-03Columbus CrewCharlotteMajor League Soccer4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 25.0%, away 28.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.00 3.70 3.40
Betano 2.02 3.80 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.90 3.20
Dafabet 2.00 3.80 3.50
Marathonbet 2.01 3.70 3.26
William Hill 2.00 3.50 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 β€”
X 3.75 β–² +0.05
2 3.33 β–² +0.07

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Columbus Crew Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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