Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 29

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

3 – 1 Full time

17′Idan Toklomati Jorno
28′Brais Méndez
45′Will ClearyNathan Byrne
45′Brandt BronicoLuca De La Torre
45′Liel AbadaRodolfo Aloko
63′Anass Zaroury
65′Taha Habroune
69′Anass ZarouryBrooks Lennon
69′Malte Amundsen
72′Patrick Schulte
78′Dylan ChambostSekou Tidiany Bangoura
78′Josef MartínezJamal Thiare
78′Allan Saint-MaximinTyger Smalls
83′Pep BielDjibril Diani
86′Santiago RodriguezAndré Gomes
87′Malte AmundsenEric Bailly

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, ColumbusReferee: Tim Ford

Columbus Crew 44%
Draw 24%
Charlotte 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

33 Shots 9
14 Shots on target 2
53 Possession % 47
10 Corners 4
6 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 3
1 Saves 11
445 Accurate passes 374

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColumbus CrewDrawCharlotte
Model30.6%25.9%43.5%
Market48.0%24.0%28.0%
Final43.6%24.5%31.9%
Edge-4.3%+0.5%+3.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Columbus Crew ↓ / Charlotte → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Columbus Crew and Charlotte expected goals

Columbus Crew 1.45
Charlotte 1.61

Total expected goals: 3.06

Columbus Crew and Charlotte attack and defence ratings

Columbus Crew

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Charlotte

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte: result vs prediction

Columbus Crew 3 – 1 Charlotte

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Columbus Crew 43.6% 2.29 -4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.2% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.1% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.5% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.6% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Columbus Crew43.6%
Draw24.5%
Charlotte31.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.2%
Under 2.540.8%
Both teams to scoreYes62.1%
No37.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.1%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)56.4%
Handicap -1Columbus Crew win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss66.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-29.1%
2-17.5%

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte stats

Columbus Crew and Charlotte recent form

newest first
Columbus Crew LWWWLL
Charlotte WLWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Columbus Crew and Charlotte going into this match

league record before kick-off

Columbus Crew record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Charlotte record

  • They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Columbus Crew wins 3Draws 4Charlotte wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-15CharlotteColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer3-1
2025-05-24CharlotteColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer3-2
2025-05-03Columbus CrewCharlotteMajor League Soccer4-2
2024-07-17Columbus CrewCharlotteMajor League Soccer1-1
2024-03-23CharlotteColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-0
2023-06-03Columbus CrewCharlotteMajor League Soccer4-2
2023-04-22CharlotteColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer1-0
2022-10-05CharlotteColumbus CrewMajor League Soccer2-2
2022-06-18Columbus CrewCharlotteMajor League Soccer1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 24.0%, away 28.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.95 3.90 3.50
BetVictor 1.93 4.00 3.30
Betano 2.00 3.85 3.45
Betfair 2.00 4.00 3.30
Dafabet 1.99 3.95 3.50
Marathonbet 1.93 3.88 3.34
Pinnacle 1.98 4.07 3.52
SBO 1.94 3.63 3.15
William Hill 1.95 3.60 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▼ -0.05
X 3.90 ▲ +0.20
2 3.34 ▲ +0.08

20 snapshots recorded, from .