FC Cincinnati
vs
New England Revolution
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Cincinnati
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
| Probability | FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.4% | 22.3% | 44.2% |
| Market | 46.4% | 23.5% | 30.1% |
| Final | 43.1% | 23.2% | 33.6% |
| Edge | -12.9% | -1.2% | +14.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution match preview
FC Cincinnati faces New England Revolution in an intriguing matchup, with FC Cincinnati holding a 43% chance of victory compared to New England's 34%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of FC Cincinnati, occurring with a 7% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, with over 2.5 goals projected at 75% and both teams to score at 74%.
In terms of recent form, FC Cincinnati has struggled with a record of L-D-D-L-L-D, while New England Revolution has shown more resilience, recording L-W-W-W-L-W. The expected goals for the match indicate FC Cincinnati at 1.81 and New England Revolution at 2.09. In their last three encounters, FC Cincinnati has secured 2 wins, while New England has 1 win.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.90
FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution attack and defence ratings
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — team news & stats
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
- CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — match page
- DC United vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- Inter Miami v New York City FC — match page
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page
Before and after this match
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cincinnati | 43.1% | 2.32 | -12.9% | 2.07 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cincinnati | 43.1% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| New England Revolution | 33.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% |
| No | 25.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Cincinnati win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.9% | |
| Loss | 66.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution stats
FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution recent form
| FC Cincinnati |
LDDLLD |
| New England Revolution |
LWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution season so far
FC Cincinnati record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New England Revolution record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | New England Revolution | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer | 6-1 |
| 2025-06-14 | New England Revolution | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | FC Cincinnati | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 23.5%, away 30.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.95 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 4.10 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.08 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .