Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Nashville SC
vs
Sporting Kansas City
4 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | Hany Mukhtar | ||
| 17′ | Sam Surridge | ||
| 29′ | Andy Najar | ||
| 45′ | Zorhan BassongJacob Bartlett | ||
| 45′ | André LuizCalvin Harris | ||
| 53′ | Seymour Garfield-ReidTaylor Calheira | ||
| 68′ | Andy NajarDaniel Lovitz | ||
| 68′ | Cristian EspinozaShakur Mohammed | ||
| 69′ | Ian JamesJacob Davis | ||
| 76′ | matthew corcoranBryan Acosta | ||
| 76′ | Hany MukhtarWarren Madrigal | ||
| 81′ | Jayden ReidEmir Karic | ||
| 83′ | Sam SurridgeAlex Muyl | ||
| 90′ | Warren Madrigal |
Nashville SC
78%
Draw
14%
Sporting Kansas City
9%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 324 | Accurate passes | 334 |
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City
| Probability | Nashville SC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.2% | 13.4% | 8.3% |
| Market | 77.6% | 13.6% | 8.7% |
| Final | 77.8% | 13.6% | 8.6% |
| Edge | +0.1% | -0.0% | -0.1% |
Why Nashville SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.11 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
78%
No goals
2%
Nashville SC and Sporting Kansas City expected goals
Nashville SC
3.11
Sporting Kansas City
1.01
Total expected goals: 4.13
Nashville SC and Sporting Kansas City attack and defence ratings
Nashville SC
Attack
1.34 +34%
Defence
0.68 -32%
Sporting Kansas City
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
1.33 +33%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City: result vs prediction
Nashville SC 4 – 0 Sporting Kansas City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — team news & stats
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
- CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — match page
- DC United vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
- Inter Miami v New York City FC — match page
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
Before and after this match
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nashville SC | 77.8% | 1.29 | +0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Nashville SC win | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nashville SC | 77.8% |
| Draw | 13.6% | |
| Sporting Kansas City | 8.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nashville SC win | 60.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 21.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.2% |
| 3-0 | 8.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City stats
Nashville SC and Sporting Kansas City recent form
| Nashville SC |
WWWDLD |
| Sporting Kansas City |
DLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nashville SC and Sporting Kansas City going into this match
Nashville SC record
- They have won 19 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting Kansas City record
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
3Nashville SC wins
0Draws
2Sporting Kansas City wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-30 | Nashville SC | Sporting Kansas City | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-21 | Sporting Kansas City | Nashville SC | Major League Soccer | 0-3 |
| 2022-06-19 | Nashville SC | Sporting Kansas City | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2022-04-10 | Sporting Kansas City | Nashville SC | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-11 | Sporting Kansas City | Nashville SC | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.6%, draw 13.6%, away 8.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 6.50 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.25 | 6.90 | 12.00 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.24 | 7.20 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.20 | 6.80 | 10.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 7.21 | 10.32 |
| SBO | 1.21 | 6.28 | 8.87 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.21 ▼ -0.06
X
6.90 ▲ +1.05
2
10.75 ▲ +1.75
20 snapshots recorded, from .