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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 28

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers

3 – 3 Full time

10′David Da Costa
12′Vincent Janssen
45′Vincent Janssen
45′André Luiz
63′Vincent JanssenAntony
63′Diego CharáJose Caicedo
64′Ariel Lassiter
70′Justin Reynolds
71′Justin ReynoldsIan James
71′Stephen AfrifaRuben Ramos Jr
71′Taylor CalheiraSeymour Garfield-Reid
72′André Luiz
75′Julio Joao Ortiz LandazuriEric Izoita
79′Zorhan BassongJacob Bartlett
82′André LuizShapi Suleymanov
87′Ariel LassiterIan Smith
87′Kristoffer VeldeAlexander Aravena

Children's Mercy Park, Kansas CityReferee: Pierre Luce Lauziere

Sporting Kansas City 40%
Draw 23%
Portland Timbers 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
46 Possession % 54
6 Corners 1
17 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
386 Accurate passes 481

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySporting Kansas CityDrawPortland Timbers
Model41.8%22.0%36.2%
Market40.0%23.5%36.5%
Final40.5%23.1%36.4%
Edge+0.4%-0.4%-0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Sporting Kansas City

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sporting Kansa ↓ / Portland Timbe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 7% 5% 2 8% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+ 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers expected goals

Sporting Kansas City 2.08
Portland Timbers 1.94

Total expected goals: 4.02

Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers attack and defence ratings

Sporting Kansas City

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Portland Timbers

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers: result vs prediction

Sporting Kansas City 3 – 3 Portland Timbers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sporting Kansas City 40.5% 2.47 +0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.6% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.7% 1.32 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.2% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sporting Kansas City40.5%
Draw23.1%
Portland Timbers36.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.6%
Under 2.523.4%
Both teams to scoreYes75.7%
No24.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.6%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)59.5%
Handicap -1Sporting Kansas City win24.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss58.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-17.9%
2-17.5%
2-27.3%

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers stats

Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers recent form

newest first
Sporting Kansas City LWLWLL
Portland Timbers LLLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sporting Kansas City record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.

Portland Timbers record

  • They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Sporting Kansas City wins 1Draws 7Portland Timbers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Portland TimbersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer6-0
2025-05-11Portland TimbersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer1-0
2025-04-13Sporting Kansas CityPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer2-4
2024-05-26Portland TimbersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer2-1
2024-04-07Sporting Kansas CityPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer3-3
2023-05-28Sporting Kansas CityPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer4-1
2023-02-28Portland TimbersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer1-0
2023-01-21Portland TimbersSporting Kansas CityFriendlies Clubs1-0
2022-08-21Sporting Kansas CityPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer4-1
2022-05-15Portland TimbersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer7-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.0%, draw 23.5%, away 36.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.40 3.90 2.62
BetVictor 2.38 4.00 2.55
Betano 2.35 4.00 2.67
Betfair 2.30 4.10 2.63
Dafabet 2.38 4.10 2.65
Marathonbet 2.30 3.98 2.57
Pinnacle 2.40 4.24 2.58
SBO 2.23 3.76 2.54
William Hill 2.25 3.80 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.35 ▼ -0.20
X 4.00 ▲ +0.10
2 2.58 ▲ +0.25

36 snapshots recorded, from .