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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 29

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers

2 – 0 Full time

17′Marco Reus
29′Pablo Ruiz
31′Sergi Roberto
38′Jímer Fory
47′Justin Haak
62′Kristoffer Velde
63′Jímer ForyIan Smith
72′Sergi RobertoLucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole
72′Robert TaylorErik Thommy
72′Joseph PaintsilHarbor Miller
74′Vincent JanssenAlexander Aravena
74′Jose CaicedoEric Izoita
80′Justin Haak
81′Ariel LassiterOmir Fernandez
81′Julio Joao Ortiz LandazuriDiego Chará
82′David Da Costa
82′Marco ReusElijah Wynder
86′Carlos Emiro Garces TorresMaya Yoshida

Dignity Health Sports Park, Los AngelesReferee: Christopher Penso

Los Angeles Galaxy 45%
Draw 23%
Portland Timbers 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
46 Possession % 54
2 Corners 5
7 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
3 Saves 3
409 Accurate passes 499

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLos Angeles GalaxyDrawPortland Timbers
Model38.7%21.2%40.0%
Market46.4%23.8%29.8%
Final44.5%23.2%32.3%
Edge-1.9%-0.6%+2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Los Angeles Galaxy

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Los Angeles Ga ↓ / Portland Timbe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 7% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 4% 4+ 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers expected goals

Los Angeles Galaxy 2.12
Portland Timbers 2.15

Total expected goals: 4.27

Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers attack and defence ratings

Los Angeles Galaxy

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Portland Timbers

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: result vs prediction

Los Angeles Galaxy 2 – 0 Portland Timbers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Los Angeles Galaxy 44.5% 2.25 -1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.9% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score Yes 78.4% 1.28 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.3% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Los Angeles Galaxy44.5%
Draw23.2%
Portland Timbers32.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.9%
Under 2.520.1%
Both teams to scoreYes78.4%
No21.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.7%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)55.5%
Handicap -1Los Angeles Galaxy win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss61.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.3%
1-17.0%
1-26.9%

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers stats

Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers recent form

newest first
Los Angeles Galaxy LWWDLW
Portland Timbers DLLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Los Angeles Galaxy record

  • They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Portland Timbers record

  • They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Los Angeles Galaxy wins 5Draws 3Portland Timbers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22Portland TimbersLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer1-1
2026-01-23Los Angeles GalaxyPortland TimbersFriendlies Clubs1-0
2025-04-28Los Angeles GalaxyPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer2-4
2025-03-16Portland TimbersLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer1-1
2024-09-19Portland TimbersLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer4-2
2024-07-21Los Angeles GalaxyPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer3-2
2023-10-01Los Angeles GalaxyPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer3-3
2023-03-25Portland TimbersLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer0-0
2023-02-12Los Angeles GalaxyPortland TimbersFriendlies Clubs1-4
2022-06-18Los Angeles GalaxyPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 23.8%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.05 4.00 3.20
BetVictor 2.00 4.00 3.10
Betano 2.07 3.90 3.20
Betfair 2.00 4.10 3.20
Dafabet 2.11 4.00 3.20
Marathonbet 2.03 3.80 3.12
Pinnacle 2.07 4.01 3.26
SBO 2.08 3.59 2.86
William Hill 2.05 3.60 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.18
X 4.00 ▲ +0.07
2 3.20 ▼ -0.20

20 snapshots recorded, from .