Los Angeles Galaxy
vs
Portland Timbers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
| Probability | Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 23.5% | 30.8% |
| Market | 50.0% | 23.6% | 26.4% |
| Final | 48.9% | 23.6% | 27.5% |
| Edge | -4.3% | -0.1% | +4.4% |
Why Los Angeles Galaxy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.60.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers match preview
In the upcoming match between Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Los Angeles Galaxy holding a 49% chance of winning, while Portland Timbers has a 28% likelihood. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of the Galaxy, with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoreline, as the model suggests a 69% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 69% likelihood that both teams will score.
Recent form shows Los Angeles Galaxy with mixed results, recording two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Portland Timbers has struggled, with one win, two losses, and a draw in their last five games. The expected goals are 1.96 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.60 for Portland Timbers, indicating a potentially high-scoring match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers attack and defence ratings
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page
- St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
- Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes
- Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FC — match page
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin
- San Diego v Houston Dynamo — match page
Before and after this match
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 48.9% | 2.04 | -4.3% | 1.90 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 48.9% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Portland Timbers | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% |
| No | 30.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Angeles Galaxy win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers stats
Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers recent form
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
WWDLWL |
| Portland Timbers |
LLLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers season so far
Los Angeles Galaxy record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portland Timbers record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Portland Timbers | Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-28 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer | 2-4 |
| 2025-03-16 | Portland Timbers | Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 23.6%, away 26.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 4.05 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.92 | 3.62 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .