Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Toronto FC
vs
Orlando City SC
3 – 3 Full time
| 26′ | Lewis Morgan | ||
| 45′ | Martin Ojeda | ||
| 49′ | Theo Corbeanu | ||
| 57′ | Lewis MorganDjordje Mihailovic | ||
| 66′ | Alonso | ||
| 67′ | Harvey Graham SarajianDaryl Dike | ||
| 75′ | Benjamin Kuscevic | ||
| 76′ | Antoine Griezmann | ||
| 80′ | Dániel SallóiDerrick Etienne Jr. | ||
| 82′ | Vinicius Nogueira | ||
| 83′ | Daryl Dike | ||
| 85′ | Robin Lucius Fraser | ||
| 85′ | Wilder CartagenaBraian Ojeda | ||
| 88′ | AlonsoEmilio Aristizábal | ||
| 89′ | Matheus Pereira de Souza | ||
| 90′ | Eduard AtuestaZakaria Taifi | ||
| 90′ | Richie Laryea |
Toronto FC
40%
Draw
24%
Orlando City SC
36%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 213 | Accurate passes | 427 |
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC
| Probability | Toronto FC | Draw | Orlando City SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 22.4% | 40.3% |
| Market | 41.0% | 24.8% | 34.3% |
| Final | 40.0% | 24.2% | 35.8% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.6% | +1.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Toronto FC and Orlando City SC expected goals
Toronto FC
1.99
Orlando City SC
1.93
Total expected goals: 3.92
Toronto FC and Orlando City SC attack and defence ratings
Toronto FC
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.13 +13%
Orlando City SC
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC: result vs prediction
Toronto FC 3 – 3 Orlando City SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
- CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — match page
- DC United vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
- Inter Miami v New York City FC — match page
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page
Before and after this match
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Toronto FC | 40.0% | 2.50 | -0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Toronto FC | 40.0% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Orlando City SC | 35.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% |
| No | 25.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Toronto FC win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 60.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-2 | 7.6% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC stats
Toronto FC and Orlando City SC recent form
| Toronto FC |
WLLLWD |
| Orlando City SC |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Toronto FC and Orlando City SC going into this match
Toronto FC record
- They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orlando City SC record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Toronto FC wins
1Draws
7Orlando City SC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Orlando City SC | Toronto FC | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Toronto FC | Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer | 4-2 |
| 2025-03-02 | Orlando City SC | Toronto FC | Major League Soccer | 4-2 |
| 2024-07-03 | Toronto FC | Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-27 | Orlando City SC | Toronto FC | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-21 | Toronto FC | Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-04 | Orlando City SC | Toronto FC | Major League Soccer | 4-0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Orlando City SC | Toronto FC | Major League Soccer | 4-0 |
| 2022-05-14 | Toronto FC | Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2021-07-17 | Toronto FC | Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 24.8%, away 34.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.90 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.75 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.90 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.66 | 2.72 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.83 | 2.86 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.53 | 2.56 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.30 ▼ -0.08
X
3.80 ▼ -0.10
2
2.75 ▲ +0.15
20 snapshots recorded, from .