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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 29

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC

0 – 3 Full time

22′Miguel Almirón
41′Giuliano Galoppo
45′Dawid BugajEfrain Morales
58′Lucas Hoyos
60′Breel Embolo
65′Ajani FortuneSteven Alzate
67′Daniel PereiraVictor Loturi
67′Matthew LongstaffFabian Herbers
67′Wikelman·CarmonaGennadiy Synchuk
74′Breel EmboloSergi Santos
75′Giuliano GaloppoCooper Sanchez
81′Alexis SanchezOlger Escobar
83′Miguel AlmirónFafà Picault
83′Mauricio AmaroTristan Muyumba
83′Olger Escobar
90′Fafà Picault

Saputo Stadium, MontrealReferee: Ricardo Montero Araya

CF Montreal 40%
Draw 26%
Atlanta United FC 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
52 Possession % 48
7 Corners 6
16 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
423 Accurate passes 397

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCF MontrealDrawAtlanta United FC
Model37.6%27.1%35.3%
Market40.7%25.3%34.0%
Final39.9%25.7%34.3%
Edge-0.8%+0.4%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CF Montreal ↓ / Atlanta United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC expected goals

CF Montreal 1.48
Atlanta United FC 1.42

Total expected goals: 2.90

CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC attack and defence ratings

CF Montreal

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Atlanta United FC

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC: result vs prediction

CF Montreal 0 – 3 Atlanta United FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CF Montreal 39.9% 2.51 -0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.4% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.7% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.4% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CF Montreal39.9%
Draw25.7%
Atlanta United FC34.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.4%
Under 2.544.6%
Both teams to scoreYes59.7%
No40.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.7%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)60.1%
Handicap -1CF Montreal win18.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss62.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
2-18.5%
1-28.2%

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC stats

CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC recent form

newest first
CF Montreal LWLLLL
Atlanta United FC LDWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

CF Montreal record

  • They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atlanta United FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3CF Montreal wins 2Draws 5Atlanta United FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Atlanta United FCCF MontrealMajor League Soccer3-1
2025-08-09CF MontrealAtlanta United FCMajor League Soccer1-1
2025-02-23Atlanta United FCCF MontrealMajor League Soccer3-2
2024-10-22CF MontrealAtlanta United FCMajor League Soccer2-2
2024-10-02Atlanta United FCCF MontrealMajor League Soccer1-2
2024-07-13CF MontrealAtlanta United FCMajor League Soccer1-0
2024-02-07Atlanta United FCCF MontrealFriendlies Clubs2-1
2023-09-23Atlanta United FCCF MontrealMajor League Soccer4-1
2023-07-08CF MontrealAtlanta United FCMajor League Soccer0-1
2022-04-30CF MontrealAtlanta United FCMajor League Soccer2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 25.3%, away 34.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.35 3.70 2.75
BetVictor 2.30 3.70 2.75
Betano 2.30 3.65 2.92
Betfair 2.20 3.80 2.80
Dafabet 2.45 3.70 2.75
Marathonbet 2.28 3.66 2.75
Pinnacle 2.38 3.77 2.87
SBO 2.32 3.36 2.61
William Hill 2.25 3.50 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.20
X 3.70 —
2 2.75 ▼ -0.35

20 snapshots recorded, from .