CF Montreal
vs
Atlanta United FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: CF Montreal
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC
| Probability | CF Montreal | Draw | Atlanta United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 27.4% | 37.6% |
| Market | 44.5% | 25.3% | 30.2% |
| Final | 42.1% | 25.8% | 32.0% |
| Edge | -9.6% | +2.1% | +7.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC match preview
CF Montreal faces Atlanta United FC in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. CF Montreal has a 42% chance of winning, while Atlanta United FC sits at 32%, with a 26% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of CF Montreal, with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, with a 59% chance for both teams to score and a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, CF Montreal has struggled with a record of one win and five losses in their last six matches, while Atlanta United FC has had mixed results with two draws and four losses in their last six games. The expected goals for CF Montreal is 1.39, slightly lower than Atlanta United FC's 1.45, indicating a closely matched contest. The head-to-head record shows CF Montreal with no wins, one draw, and two losses against Atlanta United FC in their last three encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC attack and defence ratings
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — team news & stats
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
- DC United vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
- Inter Miami v New York City FC — match page
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page
Before and after this match
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CF Montreal | 42.1% | 2.37 | -9.6% | 2.15 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CF Montreal | 42.1% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Atlanta United FC | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | CF Montreal win | 16.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 65.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC stats
CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC recent form
| CF Montreal |
WLLLLL |
| Atlanta United FC |
DWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC season so far
CF Montreal record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlanta United FC record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Atlanta United FC | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | CF Montreal | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Atlanta United FC | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 25.3%, away 30.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.68 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .