Seattle Sounders
vs
CF Montreal
Garuda Lions Prediction: Seattle Sounders
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal
| Probability | Seattle Sounders | Draw | CF Montreal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.0% | 19.9% | 10.1% |
| Market | 68.5% | 18.6% | 12.9% |
| Final | 68.8% | 18.9% | 12.2% |
| Edge | +1.6% | +1.3% | -2.9% |
Why Seattle Sounders
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal match preview
The Seattle Sounders enter this match with a strong probability of winning at 69%, bolstered by their recent form of four wins and two draws in their last six matches. The expected goals for Seattle is 2.32, indicating a robust attacking performance, while CF Montreal has struggled, reflected in their recent record of one win in six games and an expected goals figure of just 0.85.
Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-0 in favor of Seattle Sounders, which aligns with a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match. Additionally, there is a 52% chance that both teams will score. CF Montreal's current form and lower expected goals suggest they may find it challenging to compete effectively against a confident Seattle side.
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal team news
Seattle Sounders news
- N. Petkovic — knee injury
- P. Rothrock — hamstring injury
- P. de La Vega — calf injury
CF Montreal news
- B. Ceballos — lower-body injury
- B. Hidalgo — groin injury
- T. Gillier — upper-body injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal attack and defence ratings
Seattle Sounders
CF Montreal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v DC United — match page
- New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — team news & stats
- Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas — team news & stats
- Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
- Austin v Vancouver Whitecaps — match page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC
- Los Angeles Galaxy v San Diego — match page
- Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 68.8% | 1.45 | +1.6% | 1.53 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Seattle Sounders win | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 68.8% |
| Draw | 18.9% | |
| CF Montreal | 12.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Seattle Sounders win | 46.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 30.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 1-1 | 9.5% |
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal stats
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal recent form
| Seattle Sounders |
LWWWWD |
| CF Montreal |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal season so far
Seattle Sounders record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
CF Montreal record
- They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-07 | Seattle Sounders | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 5-0 |
| 2022-06-30 | Seattle Sounders | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2019-06-05 | CF Montreal | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2018-04-01 | Seattle Sounders | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2017-03-12 | CF Montreal | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2016-04-03 | Seattle Sounders | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2015-07-26 | CF Montreal | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2014-03-23 | CF Montreal | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
| 2013-03-03 | Seattle Sounders | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2012-06-16 | CF Montreal | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.0%, draw 19.5%, away 14.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.75 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 5.10 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 5.30 | 7.49 |
| SBO | 1.43 | 4.04 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .