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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 24

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City

2 – 1 Full time

44′André Luiz
45′Daniel MusovskiSebastian Gomez
51′Sebastian Gomez
61′Nouhou Tolo
63′stuar hawkinsKalani Kossa-Rienzi
63′Paul ArriolaCaden Clark
76′Calvin HarrisZorhan Bassong
76′André LuizShapi Suleymanov
76′Stephen AfrifaSeymour Garfield-Reid
79′Lasse Berg JohnsenJacob Bartlett
89′Peter KingstonMark Bronnik
89′Jacob Bartlett
90′Cristian Roldán
90′Albert RusnákYeimar Gomez

Lumen Field, SeattleReferee: Jair Marrufo

Seattle Sounders 61%
Draw 21%
Sporting Kansas City 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 22
7 Shots on target 11
58 Possession % 42
11 Corners 6
7 Fouls 4
1 Offsides 2
9 Saves 5
487 Accurate passes 333

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySeattle SoundersDrawSporting Kansas City
Model55.7%22.2%22.1%
Market62.8%20.1%17.1%
Final61.1%20.6%18.3%
Edge-7.2%+2.2%+5.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Seattle Sounders

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.32.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Seattle Sounde ↓ / Sporting Kansa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 6% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Seattle Sounders and Sporting Kansas City expected goals

Seattle Sounders 2.16
Sporting Kansas City 1.32

Total expected goals: 3.49

Seattle Sounders and Sporting Kansas City attack and defence ratings

Seattle Sounders

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Sporting Kansas City

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City: result vs prediction

Seattle Sounders 2 – 1 Sporting Kansas City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Seattle Sounders 61.1% 1.64 -7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.7% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.8% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.7% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.3% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Seattle Sounders61.1%
Draw20.6%
Sporting Kansas City18.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.7%
Under 2.532.3%
Both teams to scoreYes65.8%
No34.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.7%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)38.9%
Handicap -1Seattle Sounders win34.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss44.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
2-19.5%
2-07.2%

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City stats

Seattle Sounders and Sporting Kansas City recent form

newest first
Seattle Sounders WWDDDD
Sporting Kansas City WLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Seattle Sounders and Sporting Kansas City going into this match

league record before kick-off

Seattle Sounders record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Sporting Kansas City record

  • They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Seattle Sounders wins 1Draws 4Sporting Kansas City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Sporting Kansas CitySeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer1-1
2025-08-25Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer5-2
2025-07-13Sporting Kansas CitySeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer2-3
2024-09-15Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer2-0
2024-06-09Sporting Kansas CitySeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer2-1
2023-05-07Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer1-2
2023-03-26Sporting Kansas CitySeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer1-4
2022-10-02Sporting Kansas CitySeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer1-0
2022-06-25Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer3-0
2021-10-23Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.8%, draw 20.1%, away 17.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.50 4.75 5.75
BetVictor 1.45 4.80 5.75
Betano 1.53 5.00 5.80
Betfair 1.50 4.60 5.50
Marathonbet 1.49 4.65 5.30
Pinnacle 1.50 5.07 5.53
SBO 1.45 4.51 5.13
William Hill 1.50 4.50 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▲ +0.06
X 4.70 ▼ -0.08
2 5.52 ▼ -0.31

18 snapshots recorded, from .