New England Revolution
vs
Seattle Sounders
Garuda Lions Prediction: New England Revolution
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders overview
Garuda Lions analysis: New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders
| Probability | New England Revolution | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.2% | 26.1% | 30.6% |
| Market | 50.5% | 24.1% | 25.4% |
| Final | 48.7% | 24.6% | 26.7% |
| Edge | -7.2% | +2.1% | +5.2% |
Why New England Revolution
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders match preview
The upcoming match between New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders features a competitive landscape, with New England Revolution holding a 48% probability of winning, while Seattle Sounders have a 27% chance. The likelihood of a draw stands at 25%. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 in favor of New England, with a 9% chance of occurring.
In terms of scoring, there is a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score, with a 61% likelihood. The expected goals for New England Revolution is 1.65, while Seattle Sounders is at 1.37. Recent form shows New England with mixed results (L-W-W-W-L-W) and Seattle on a more consistent run (W-W-W-D-D-D), contributing to a confidence grade of C for this matchup.
New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders team news
New England Revolution news
- A. Yusuf — muscle injury
- J. Harrison — lower-body injury
- L. Campana — hamstring injury
Seattle Sounders news
- J. Ferreira — muscle injury
- N. Petkovic — knee injury
- P. Kingston — injury
- P. Rothrock — tendon injury
- P. de La Vega — calf injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders attack and defence ratings
New England Revolution
Seattle Sounders
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake — team news & stats
- New York Red Bulls vs San Diego
- Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati — match page
- Inter Miami vs DC United
- Charlotte v FC Dallas — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo
Before and after this match
New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New England Revolution | 48.7% | 2.05 | -7.2% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New England Revolution | 48.7% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Seattle Sounders | 26.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% |
| No | 38.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | New England Revolution win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders stats
New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders recent form
| New England Revolution |
LWWWLW |
| Seattle Sounders |
WWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders season so far
New England Revolution record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
Seattle Sounders record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-07 | Seattle Sounders | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2019-08-10 | Seattle Sounders | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 3-3 |
| 2018-07-07 | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2017-04-30 | Seattle Sounders | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 3-3 |
| 2016-05-28 | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2015-03-09 | Seattle Sounders | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2014-05-11 | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 5-0 |
| 2013-04-13 | Seattle Sounders | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2012-06-30 | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.5%, draw 24.1%, away 25.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.95 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.84 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.73 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
34 snapshots recorded, from .