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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 28

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders

0 – 3 Full time

15′Hassani Dotson
19′Cristian Roldán
24′William Sands
56′Hassani Dotson
60′Sebastian GomezSnyder Brunell
65′Matt PolsterIlay Feingold
68′Jordan MorrisPaul Arriola
69′Yeimar Gomezstuar hawkins
73′Jackson YueillJudah Siqueira
74′Luca Daniel·LangoniDániel Gazdag
74′Dejan Joveljić
80′Alexander RoldanKalani Kossa-Rienzi
80′Dejan JoveljićJesús Ferreira
81′Paul Arriola
85′Carles GilDiego Fagúndez
85′Peyton MillerGriffin Yow

Boston Stadium, BostonReferee: Tori Penso

New England Revolution 48%
Draw 25%
Seattle Sounders 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
57 Possession % 43
8 Corners 5
6 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 3
2 Saves 5
522 Accurate passes 392

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders overview

Garuda Lions analysis: New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNew England RevolutionDrawSeattle Sounders
Model43.2%26.1%30.6%
Market49.7%24.3%26.0%
Final48.1%24.7%27.2%
Edge-1.6%+0.5%+1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why New England Revolution

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

New England Re ↓ / Seattle Sounde → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 8% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders expected goals

New England Revolution 1.65
Seattle Sounders 1.36

Total expected goals: 3.02

New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders attack and defence ratings

New England Revolution

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Seattle Sounders

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders: result vs prediction

New England Revolution 0 – 3 Seattle Sounders

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 New England Revolution 48.1% 2.08 -1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.3% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.7% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2New England Revolution48.1%
Draw24.7%
Seattle Sounders27.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.1%
Under 2.541.9%
Both teams to scoreYes61.3%
No38.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.8%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)51.9%
Handicap -1New England Revolution win23.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss56.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-19.1%
1-27.5%

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders stats

New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders recent form

newest first
New England Revolution LWWWLW
Seattle Sounders WWWDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders going into this match

league record before kick-off

New England Revolution record

  • They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

Seattle Sounders record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2New England Revolution wins 5Draws 2Seattle Sounders wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-07-07Seattle SoundersNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer2-0
2019-08-10Seattle SoundersNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer3-3
2018-07-07New England RevolutionSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer0-0
2017-04-30Seattle SoundersNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer3-3
2016-05-28New England RevolutionSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer2-1
2015-03-09Seattle SoundersNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer3-0
2014-05-11New England RevolutionSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer5-0
2013-04-13Seattle SoundersNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer0-0
2012-06-30New England RevolutionSeattle SoundersMajor League Soccer2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 24.3%, away 26.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.91 3.75 3.75
BetVictor 1.90 3.90 3.50
Betano 1.98 4.05 3.70
Betfair 1.87 4.00 3.70
Dafabet 1.98 3.90 3.55
Marathonbet 1.84 3.84 3.68
Pinnacle 1.95 4.01 3.59
William Hill 1.85 3.60 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▲ +0.16
X 3.90 ▼ -0.10
2 3.63 ▼ -0.37

36 snapshots recorded, from .