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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 27

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution

3 – 0 Full time

2′Aiden Hezarkhani
45′Carles Gil
46′Morgan Guilavogui
58′Luca Daniel·LangoniCody Baker
58′Wilson HarrisGriffin Yow
61′Joshua Wynder
62′Sergi Solans
68′Joshua WynderJavaun Mussenden
75′Aiden HezarkhaniColin Guske
75′Rafael
80′Sergi Solans
86′Sergi SolansLineker Rodrigues
86′Matt PolsterMarcos Zambrano Delgado
86′Carles GilDiego Fagúndez
89′Morgan GuilavoguiJason Shokalook

Rio Tinto Stadium, SandyReferee: Ricardo Fierro

Real Salt Lake 33%
Draw 25%
New England Revolution 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 4
33 Possession % 67
1 Corners 11
8 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 2
4 Saves 3
247 Accurate passes 536

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal Salt LakeDrawNew England Revolution
Model19.5%23.9%56.6%
Market37.6%25.4%36.9%
Final33.1%25.1%41.8%
Edge-18.1%-1.5%+19.7%

Confidence: Low

Why New England Revolution

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.07.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices New England Revolution below the model: +19.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Salt Lake ↓ / New England Re → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution expected goals

Real Salt Lake 1.07
New England Revolution 1.94

Total expected goals: 3.01

Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution attack and defence ratings

Real Salt Lake

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.18 +18%

New England Revolution

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution: result vs prediction

Real Salt Lake 3 – 0 New England Revolution

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 New England Revolution 41.8% 2.39 +19.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.3% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.5% 2.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Salt Lake33.1%
Draw25.1%
New England Revolution41.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.9%
Under 2.542.1%
Both teams to scoreYes57.3%
No42.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.2%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)66.9%
Handicap -1New England Revolution win33.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss43.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-29.9%
0-29.3%

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution stats

Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution recent form

newest first
Real Salt Lake LLLLDL
New England Revolution WWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Salt Lake record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

New England Revolution record

  • They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Real Salt Lake wins 2Draws 2New England Revolution wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-09-01Real Salt LakeNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer2-0
2022-03-13New England RevolutionReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer2-3
2019-09-21New England RevolutionReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer0-0
2018-10-19Real Salt LakeNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer4-1
2017-05-13New England RevolutionReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer4-0
2016-07-17Real Salt LakeNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer0-0
2015-04-25New England RevolutionReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer4-0
2014-07-05Real Salt LakeNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer2-1
2013-05-09New England RevolutionReal Salt LakeMajor League Soccer1-2
2012-05-06Real Salt LakeNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 25.4%, away 36.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.55 3.60 2.60
BetVictor 2.50 3.70 2.50
Betano 2.50 3.70 2.62
Betfair 2.50 3.80 2.55
Marathonbet 2.48 3.65 2.51
Pinnacle 2.54 3.86 2.59
William Hill 2.50 3.50 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▲ +0.40
X 3.70 —
2 2.55 ▼ -0.49

18 snapshots recorded, from .