Colorado Rapids
vs
Minnesota United FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Colorado Rapids
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
| Probability | Colorado Rapids | Draw | Minnesota United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.4% | 21.0% | 21.6% |
| Market | 46.6% | 25.5% | 27.9% |
| Final | 49.3% | 24.4% | 26.3% |
| Edge | +10.8% | -4.6% | -6.2% |
Why Colorado Rapids
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Colorado Rapids below the model: +10.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC match preview
The upcoming match between Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC presents an intriguing matchup, with Colorado Rapids holding a 49% probability of winning, compared to Minnesota United FC's 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Colorado, with an expected goals tally of 2.34 for the Rapids and 1.41 for Minnesota. Additionally, there is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score 69% of the time.
In terms of recent form, Colorado Rapids have had mixed results with one win in their last six matches, while Minnesota United FC is on a five-match losing streak, followed by a draw. Historically, the last three encounters have seen Colorado Rapids secure two wins and one draw against Minnesota, who have yet to record a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.75
Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC attack and defence ratings
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page
- St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
- Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin
- San Diego v Houston Dynamo — match page
Before and after this match
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Rapids | 49.3% | 2.03 | +10.8% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Rapids | 49.3% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Minnesota United FC | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% |
| No | 30.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colorado Rapids win | 37.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | 8.5% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC stats
Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC recent form
| Colorado Rapids |
LDWWDL |
| Minnesota United FC |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC season so far
Colorado Rapids record
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Minnesota United FC record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Minnesota United FC | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Colorado Rapids | Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Minnesota United FC | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 25.5%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.75 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.62 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .