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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 29

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC

2 – 2 Full time

11′Darren Yapi
45′Darren Yapi
52′Kelvin Yeboah
60′Paxten AaronsonJoshua Atencio
60′Keegan RosenberrySayed Abu Farkhi
65′Marcus CaldeiraMauricio González Carabalí
68′Sayed Abu Farkhi
70′Darren YapiGeorgi Minoungou
72′Morgan WhittakerIbrahim Sadiq
72′Donavan PhillipKosi Thompson
74′Georgi Minoungou
79′Miguel Navarro
82′Tomás ChancalayAziel Jackson
82′Wil TrappNectarios Triantis
82′Bongokuhle HlongwaneJoaquín Pereyra
83′Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés
87′Owen Gene
90′Jefferson Abel Díaz BeleñoNicolás Romero

Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade CityReferee: Victor Rivas

Colorado Rapids 48%
Draw 25%
Minnesota United FC 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
60 Possession % 40
7 Corners 4
7 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 4
1 Saves 2
447 Accurate passes 258

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColorado RapidsDrawMinnesota United FC
Model54.6%21.9%23.5%
Market45.9%25.4%28.7%
Final48.1%24.5%27.4%
Edge+2.2%-0.9%-1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Colorado Rapids

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Colorado Rapids below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colorado Rapid ↓ / Minnesota Unit → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC expected goals

Colorado Rapids 1.90
Minnesota United FC 1.64

Total expected goals: 3.54

Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC attack and defence ratings

Colorado Rapids

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Minnesota United FC

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC: result vs prediction

Colorado Rapids 2 – 2 Minnesota United FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colorado Rapids 48.1% 2.08 +2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.5% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.5% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.5% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.7% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colorado Rapids48.1%
Draw24.5%
Minnesota United FC27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.5%
Under 2.529.5%
Both teams to scoreYes68.5%
No31.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)51.9%
Handicap -1Colorado Rapids win24.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss56.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.2%
1-19.1%
3-16.8%

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC stats

Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC recent form

newest first
Colorado Rapids DLDLWD
Minnesota United FC DLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colorado Rapids record

  • They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Minnesota United FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Colorado Rapids wins 2Draws 5Minnesota United FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-14Minnesota United FCColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer0-1
2025-09-28Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FCMajor League Soccer1-1
2025-08-10Minnesota United FCColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer1-2
2024-09-29Minnesota United FCColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer3-0
2024-05-26Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FCMajor League Soccer3-3
2023-08-31Minnesota United FCColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer3-0
2023-03-19Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FCMajor League Soccer1-2
2022-08-07Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FCMajor League Soccer4-3
2022-05-12Minnesota United FCColorado RapidsUS Open Cup2-1
2022-04-17Minnesota United FCColorado RapidsMajor League Soccer3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.9%, draw 25.4%, away 28.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.00 3.70 3.50
BetVictor 2.05 3.70 3.20
Betano 2.05 3.65 3.45
Betfair 2.05 3.80 3.20
Dafabet 2.09 3.75 3.40
Marathonbet 2.03 3.60 3.28
Pinnacle 2.06 3.76 3.47
SBO 2.08 3.40 3.00
William Hill 2.00 3.40 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.05
X 3.70 ▲ +0.08
2 3.28 ▼ -0.02

20 snapshots recorded, from .