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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 25

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution

1 – 2 Full time

39′Dor Turgeman
43′Noah Allen
45′Sam RogersAndrew Gutman
47′Peyton Miller
52′Matt Polster
55′Jonathan DeanMaren Haile-Selassie
55′Johan Arath GomezRobin Lod
55′Puso DithejaneJonathan Bamba
58′Peyton Miller
62′Maren Haile-Selassie
69′Dániel GazdagGriffin Yow
69′Jackson YueillJoshua Wynder
81′Dor TurgemanIlay Feingold
84′Sergio Oregel
88′Carles GilWilson Harris
88′Peyton MillerCody Baker

Soldier Field, ChicagoReferee: Rubiel Vazquez, USA

Chicago Fire 47%
Draw 25%
New England Revolution 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
60 Possession % 40
13 Corners 0
14 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 2
0 Saves 5
462 Accurate passes 295

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChicago FireDrawNew England Revolution
Model43.9%25.3%30.8%
Market47.6%24.5%28.0%
Final46.7%24.7%28.7%
Edge-3.6%+0.9%+2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Chicago Fire

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.43.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chicago Fire ↓ / New England Re → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Chicago Fire and New England Revolution expected goals

Chicago Fire 1.74
New England Revolution 1.43

Total expected goals: 3.18

Chicago Fire and New England Revolution attack and defence ratings

Chicago Fire

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.03 +3%

New England Revolution

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution: result vs prediction

Chicago Fire 1 – 2 New England Revolution

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chicago Fire 46.7% 2.14 -3.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.9% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.1% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chicago Fire46.7%
Draw24.7%
New England Revolution28.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
Both teams to scoreYes63.9%
No36.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.3%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)53.3%
Handicap -1Chicago Fire win23.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss56.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.1%
1-27.5%

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution stats

Chicago Fire and New England Revolution recent form

newest first
Chicago Fire DDDLDW
New England Revolution WLWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chicago Fire and New England Revolution going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chicago Fire record

  • They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

New England Revolution record

  • They have won 12 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Chicago Fire wins 7Draws 1New England Revolution wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-18New England RevolutionChicago FireMajor League Soccer2-2
2025-09-07Chicago FireNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer3-2
2025-05-20New England RevolutionChicago FireUS Open Cup1-3
2024-05-05Chicago FireNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer0-1
2024-03-23New England RevolutionChicago FireMajor League Soccer1-1
2023-09-24Chicago FireNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer2-2
2023-05-27New England RevolutionChicago FireMajor League Soccer3-3
2022-10-09Chicago FireNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer1-1
2022-08-31New England RevolutionChicago FireMajor League Soccer0-0
2021-10-16New England RevolutionChicago FireMajor League Soccer2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 24.2%, away 27.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.67 4.30 4.20
888Sport 1.67 4.00 4.20
Bet365 2.00 3.80 3.40
BetVictor 1.95 3.90 3.30
Betano 2.07 3.95 3.50
Betfair 2.00 3.75 3.50
Dafabet 1.69 4.40 4.50
Marathonbet 1.94 3.92 3.32
Pinnacle 2.02 3.89 3.54
Unibet 1.67 4.10 4.40
William Hill 1.91 3.75 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.33
X 3.89 ▼ -0.21
2 3.40 ▼ -0.80

14 snapshots recorded, from .