Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Portland Timbers
vs
Atlanta United FC
0 – 1 Full time
| 25′ | D. Chara | ||
| 28′ | A. Miranchuk | ||
| 34′ | T. JacobM. Edwards | ||
| 45′ | J. Waterman | ||
| 45′ | Giuliano Galoppo | ||
| 59′ | AntonyV. Janssen | ||
| 65′ | T. Muyumba | ||
| 66′ | Giuliano GaloppoC. Sanchez | ||
| 76′ | J. ForyI. Smith | ||
| 76′ | D. CharaJ. Ortiz | ||
| 77′ | C. BassettO. Fernandez | ||
| 83′ | T. MuyumbaA. Fortune | ||
| 83′ | P. DiazE. Mihaj | ||
| 86′ | R. HernandezG. Guerra |
Portland Timbers
52%
Draw
22%
Atlanta United FC
26%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 447 | Accurate passes | 396 |
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC
| Probability | Portland Timbers | Draw | Atlanta United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.4% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| Market | 47.9% | 23.4% | 28.7% |
| Final | 51.6% | 22.3% | 26.1% |
| Edge | +14.4% | -4.3% | -10.2% |
Why Portland Timbers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 1.40.
- The market prices Portland Timbers below the model: +14.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
76%
No goals
3%
Portland Timbers and Atlanta United FC expected goals
Portland Timbers
2.58
Atlanta United FC
1.40
Total expected goals: 3.98
Portland Timbers and Atlanta United FC attack and defence ratings
Portland Timbers
Attack
1.33 +33%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Atlanta United FC
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC: result vs prediction
Portland Timbers 0 – 1 Atlanta United FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
- New England Revolution v Orlando City SC — match page
- CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew — team news & stats
- DC United vs Charlotte
- FC Dallas v Austin — match page
- Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati — team news & stats
- Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union
Before and after this match
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portland Timbers | 51.6% | 1.94 | +14.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Portland Timbers win | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portland Timbers | 51.6% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Atlanta United FC | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% |
| No | 29.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Portland Timbers win | 42.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.7% |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | |
| 1-1 | 7.4% |
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC stats
Portland Timbers and Atlanta United FC recent form
| Portland Timbers |
LDWLDW |
| Atlanta United FC |
DLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portland Timbers and Atlanta United FC going into this match
Portland Timbers record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlanta United FC record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
1Portland Timbers wins
2Draws
3Atlanta United FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-18 | Atlanta United FC | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer | 5-1 |
| 2022-09-04 | Portland Timbers | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2019-08-19 | Portland Timbers | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
| 2018-12-09 | Atlanta United FC | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2018-06-24 | Atlanta United FC | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2017-05-14 | Portland Timbers | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 23.6%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.88 | 3.26 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 4.17 | 3.37 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 3.31 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.95 ▼ -0.02
X
4.00 ▲ +0.18
2
3.26 ▼ -0.04
13 snapshots recorded, from .