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USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX

2 – 0 Full time

9′H. Neville
21′J. Scarlett
48′R. Edwards
58′A. Al Qaq
64′S. AnakuM. Ngalina
72′T. RobertsK. Sadlier
77′A. WilliamsA. Obalola
81′E. JaaskelainenA. Luckhurst
81′J. RossiterW. Kuzain
83′E. Samadia
86′B. MakangilaC. Hadjipaschalis
90′K. Sadlier

Trinity Health StadiumReferee: I. Bych

Hartford Athletic 66%
Draw 20%
Sporting JAX 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHartford AthleticDrawSporting JAX
Model71.4%16.9%11.7%
Market63.6%20.8%15.6%
Final65.6%19.8%14.6%
Edge+7.8%-3.9%-3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Hartford Athletic

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 1.05.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Hartford Athletic below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hartford Athle ↓ / Sporting JAX → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 7% 2 9% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 10% 10% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Hartford Athletic and Sporting JAX expected goals

Hartford Athletic 2.70
Sporting JAX 1.05

Total expected goals: 3.75

Hartford Athletic and Sporting JAX attack and defence ratings

Hartford Athletic

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Sporting JAX

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.80 +80%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX: result vs prediction

Hartford Athletic 2 – 0 Sporting JAX

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hartford Athletic 65.6% 1.53 +7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.3% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.4% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Hartford Athletic win 51.3% 1.95 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hartford Athletic65.6%
Draw19.8%
Sporting JAX14.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.3%
Under 2.527.7%
Both teams to scoreYes61.4%
No38.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.4%
12 (either side)80.2%
X2 (draw or away)34.4%
Handicap -1Hartford Athletic win51.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss28.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.0%
2-08.5%
3-18.1%

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX stats

Hartford Athletic and Sporting JAX recent form

newest first
Hartford Athletic WDWWWD
Sporting JAX LWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hartford Athletic and Sporting JAX going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hartford Athletic record

  • They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sporting JAX record

  • They have won 3 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Hartford Athletic wins 0Draws 0Sporting JAX wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Sporting JAXHartford AthleticUSL Championship0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.6%, draw 20.8%, away 15.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.39 4.40 6.27
Bet365 1.44 4.20 5.50
BetVictor 1.44 4.50 6.00
Betano 1.45 4.30 5.50
Betfair 1.36 4.40 6.00
Marathonbet 1.39 4.45 5.75
Pinnacle 1.46 4.88 6.00
William Hill 1.44 4.33 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.44 ▼ -0.10
X 4.40 ▲ +0.18
2 5.88 ▲ +1.15

6 snapshots recorded, from .