USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island

0 – 3 Full time

30′F. Nodarse
38′Y. Tsukada
54′R. PedderA. Al Qaq
57′O. FoyoN. Fuson
63′S. Korzeniowski
64′Y. TsukadaA. Sanchez
64′A. Shapiro-Thompson
67′W. KuzainT. Roberts
75′M. GodinhoH. Neville
75′K. SadlierA. Luckhurst
79′A. Shapiro-ThompsonZ. Herivaux
79′Leo AfonsoD. Atkinson
79′G. StonemanE. Klein
80′N. Fuson
88′S. Korzeniowski
88′Jean Mota
90′J. Kwizera

Hodges StadiumReferee: J. Escobar

Sporting JAX 21%
Draw 23%
Rhode Island 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySporting JAXDrawRhode Island
Model26.8%24.0%49.2%
Market19.0%22.6%58.3%
Final21.0%23.0%56.1%
Edge+7.8%+1.4%-9.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Rhode Island

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.40.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sporting JAX ↓ / Rhode Island → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Sporting JAX and Rhode Island expected goals

Sporting JAX 1.40
Rhode Island 1.93

Total expected goals: 3.33

Sporting JAX and Rhode Island attack and defence ratings

Sporting JAX

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.77 +77%

Rhode Island

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island: result vs prediction

Sporting JAX 0 – 3 Rhode Island

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rhode Island 56.1% 1.78 -9.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.3% 1.53 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.0% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.8% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sporting JAX21.0%
Draw23.0%
Rhode Island56.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.7%
Under 2.535.3%
Both teams to scoreYes65.3%
No34.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.9%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)79.0%
Handicap -1Rhode Island win28.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss50.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
1-29.3%
2-16.7%

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island stats

Sporting JAX and Rhode Island recent form

newest first
Sporting JAX WLWLLL
Rhode Island DLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sporting JAX and Rhode Island going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sporting JAX record

  • They have won 3 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Rhode Island record

  • They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Sporting JAX wins 1Draws 0Rhode Island wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14Rhode IslandSporting JAXUSL Championship1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 22.6%, away 58.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.81 4.05 1.55
Bet365 4.75 3.90 1.55
BetVictor 5.25 4.00 1.55
Betano 4.70 4.00 1.57
Betfair 4.75 4.00 1.55
Dafabet 4.90 4.20 1.57
Marathonbet 4.75 4.05 1.53
Pinnacle 5.03 4.37 1.58
Unibet 4.00 3.65 1.68
William Hill 4.75 3.90 1.55

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.75 ▼ -0.06
X 4.00 ▼ -0.30
2 1.55 ▼ -0.03

14 snapshots recorded, from .