USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic

1 – 1 Full time

13′J. Scarlett
21′B. Fischer
27′A. Taofeek
33′M. Ngalina
46′J. ScarlettA. Diz
58′B. MinesB. Coffey
58′G. FlynnS. Anderson
58′A. TaofeekS. Anaku
60′P. LealJ. Rodriguez
60′B. PopeT. Antonoglou
67′C. Locker
68′C. Hadjipaschalis
69′C. LockerM. Arteaga
70′M. Arteaga
72′M. NgalinaA. Obalola

Cashman FieldReferee: J. Surgan

Las Vegas Lights 41%
Draw 28%
Hartford Athletic 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLas Vegas LightsDrawHartford Athletic
Model30.9%33.3%35.8%
Market43.8%26.2%30.0%
Final40.6%28.0%31.4%
Edge-12.9%+7.1%+5.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Las Vegas Ligh ↓ / Hartford Athle → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 13% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Las Vegas Lights and Hartford Athletic expected goals

Las Vegas Lights 0.97
Hartford Athletic 1.05

Total expected goals: 2.02

Las Vegas Lights and Hartford Athletic attack and defence ratings

Las Vegas Lights

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Hartford Athletic

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic: result vs prediction

Las Vegas Lights 1 – 1 Hartford Athletic

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Las Vegas Lights 40.6% 2.46 -12.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.1% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.9% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Las Vegas Lights40.6%
Draw28.0%
Hartford Athletic31.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.9%
Under 2.567.1%
Both teams to scoreYes41.7%
No58.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.6%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.4%
Handicap -1Las Vegas Lights win11.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss68.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.9%
0-014.6%
0-112.7%

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic stats

Las Vegas Lights and Hartford Athletic recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Las Vegas Lights and Hartford Athletic going into this match

league record before kick-off

Las Vegas Lights record

  • They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hartford Athletic record

  • They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Las Vegas Lights wins 0Draws 3Hartford Athletic wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-08-17Hartford AthleticLas Vegas LightsUSL Championship2-1
2023-07-23Las Vegas LightsHartford AthleticUSL Championship0-2
2022-09-17Hartford AthleticLas Vegas LightsUSL Championship3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 25.9%, away 30.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.05 3.44 3.06
Bet365 2.05 3.60 2.90
BetVictor 2.10 3.50 3.13
Betano 2.07 3.55 2.95
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.10
Marathonbet 2.03 3.44 2.99
Pinnacle 2.16 3.62 3.16
William Hill 2.10 3.25 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.08 ▼ -0.07
X 3.47 ▼ -0.03
2 3.03 ▲ +0.25

10 snapshots recorded, from .