USL Championship
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Orange County SC
vs
Las Vegas Lights
0 – 2 Full time
| 13′ | J. Rodriguez | ||
| 43′ | J. RodriguezM. Arteaga | ||
| 45′ | M. Arteaga | ||
| 45′ | B. Pope | ||
| 45′ | O. Sylla | ||
| 68′ | Y. BaziniM. Bunbury | ||
| 75′ | G. Probo | ||
| 75′ | O. SyllaM. Palomino | ||
| 76′ | S. WathutaE. Zubak | ||
| 86′ | C. LockerP. Leal | ||
| 86′ | B. PopeT. Antonoglou | ||
| 90′ | J. LindseyT. Espy | ||
| 90′ | M. ArteagaA. Guillen | ||
| 90′ | O. Anderson | ||
| 90′ | O. Anderson |
Orange County SC
40%
Draw
26%
Las Vegas Lights
34%
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights
| Probability | Orange County SC | Draw | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.1% | 26.8% | 28.1% |
| Market | 38.2% | 26.4% | 35.4% |
| Final | 40.0% | 26.5% | 33.6% |
| Edge | +6.9% | +0.4% | -7.3% |
Why Orange County SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.24.
- The market prices Orange County SC below the model: +6.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights expected goals
Orange County SC
1.61
Las Vegas Lights
1.24
Total expected goals: 2.85
Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights attack and defence ratings
Orange County SC
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.35 +35%
Las Vegas Lights
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights: result vs prediction
Orange County SC 0 – 2 Las Vegas Lights
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orange County SC | 40.0% | 2.50 | +6.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orange County SC | 40.0% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Las Vegas Lights | 33.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orange County SC win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 55.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights stats
Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights recent form
| Orange County SC |
DDLLLW |
| Las Vegas Lights |
LLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights going into this match
Orange County SC record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Las Vegas Lights record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Orange County SC wins
4Draws
3Las Vegas Lights wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Las Vegas Lights | Orange County SC | USL Championship | 2-3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Orange County SC | Las Vegas Lights | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Orange County SC | Las Vegas Lights | USL Championship | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Orange County SC | Las Vegas Lights | USL League One Cup | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-06 | Las Vegas Lights | Orange County SC | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Las Vegas Lights | Orange County SC | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Orange County SC | Las Vegas Lights | USL Championship | 2-3 |
| 2023-09-03 | Las Vegas Lights | Orange County SC | USL Championship | 1-5 |
| 2023-03-26 | Orange County SC | Las Vegas Lights | USL Championship | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-18 | Orange County SC | Las Vegas Lights | USL Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.5%, draw 26.4%, away 35.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.42 | 2.55 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.55 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.42 | 2.55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 3.69 | 2.66 |
| Unibet | 2.15 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.36 ▲ +0.17
X
3.42 ▼ -0.10
2
2.55 ▼ -0.23
12 snapshots recorded, from .