Phoenix Rising
vs
Indy Eleven
2 – 1 Full time
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven
| Probability | Phoenix Rising | Draw | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.3% | 29.1% | 27.6% |
| Market | 48.1% | 26.0% | 26.0% |
| Final | 46.9% | 26.7% | 26.4% |
| Edge | -4.7% | +3.1% | +1.6% |
Why Phoenix Rising
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 1.08.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Phoenix Rising and Indy Eleven expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Phoenix Rising and Indy Eleven attack and defence ratings
Phoenix Rising
Indy Eleven
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven: result vs prediction
Phoenix Rising 2 – 1 Indy Eleven
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Phoenix Rising | 46.9% | 2.13 | -4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Phoenix Rising | 46.9% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Indy Eleven | 26.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Phoenix Rising win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 56.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven stats
Phoenix Rising and Indy Eleven recent form
| Phoenix Rising |
DWLDDW |
| Indy Eleven |
WWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Phoenix Rising and Indy Eleven going into this match
Phoenix Rising record
- They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Indy Eleven record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.1%, draw 26.0%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.48 | 3.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.48 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.63 | 3.65 |
| Unibet | 1.95 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .