Sporting JAX
vs
Birmingham Legion
0 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | H. DiopPaterson AJ | ||
| 36′ | G. Diarbian | ||
| 46′ | K. SadlierA. Al Qaq |
Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion
| Probability | Sporting JAX | Draw | Birmingham Legion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.9% | 18.6% | 57.5% |
| Market | 26.7% | 24.2% | 49.1% |
| Final | 26.0% | 22.8% | 51.2% |
| Edge | -0.7% | -1.4% | +2.1% |
Why Birmingham Legion
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 1.82.
- The market prices Birmingham Legion below our published probability: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting JAX and Birmingham Legion expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.59
Sporting JAX and Birmingham Legion attack and defence ratings
Sporting JAX
Birmingham Legion
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion: result vs prediction
Sporting JAX 0 – 1 Birmingham Legion
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birmingham Legion | 51.2% | 1.95 | +2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.1% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting JAX | 26.0% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Birmingham Legion | 51.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.1% |
| No | 20.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Birmingham Legion win | 38.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 42.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.1% |
| 1-3 | 6.6% | |
| 2-2 | 6.4% |
Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion stats
Sporting JAX and Birmingham Legion recent form
| Sporting JAX |
LLLLWL |
| Birmingham Legion |
LWLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting JAX and Birmingham Legion going into this match
Sporting JAX record
- They have won 3 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Birmingham Legion record
- They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Birmingham Legion | Sporting JAX | USL Championship | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.7%, draw 24.2%, away 49.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.42 | 3.70 | 1.84 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 4.00 | 1.85 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.85 | 1.92 |
| Marathonbet | 3.34 | 3.70 | 1.82 |
| Pinnacle | 3.54 | 4.02 | 1.92 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
20 snapshots recorded, from .