Temperley
vs
Midland
2 – 1 Full time
Temperley vs Midland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Temperley vs Midland
| Probability | Temperley | Draw | Midland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 29.2% | 21.0% |
| Market | 38.7% | 34.1% | 27.1% |
| Final | 41.5% | 32.9% | 25.6% |
| Edge | +11.0% | -4.9% | -6.1% |
Why Temperley
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.86.
- The market prices Temperley below the model: +11.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Temperley and Midland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Temperley and Midland attack and defence ratings
Temperley
Midland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Temperley vs Midland: result vs prediction
Temperley 2 – 1 Midland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Temperley vs Midland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Temperley | 41.5% | 2.41 | +11.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Temperley | 41.5% |
| Draw | 32.9% | |
| Midland | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.4% |
| No | 54.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Temperley win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 11.2% |
Temperley vs Midland stats
Temperley and Midland recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Temperley and Midland going into this match
Temperley record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Midland record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Temperley vs Midland head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Midland | Temperley | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Temperley vs Midland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.7%, draw 34.1%, away 27.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 2.67 | 3.40 |
| 888Sport | 2.45 | 2.63 | 3.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 2.70 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 2.70 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 2.75 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.38 | 2.75 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 2.67 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43 | 2.80 | 3.56 |
| SBO | 2.27 | 2.65 | 3.01 |
| Superbet | 2.40 | 2.75 | 3.45 |
| Unibet | 2.33 | 2.80 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 2.62 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .