Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 16

Aurora vs Real Potosí

0 – 0 Full time

Referee: I. N. Mendez Chavez

Aurora 48%
Draw 26%
Real Potosí 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aurora vs Real Potosí overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aurora vs Real Potosí

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAuroraDrawReal Potosí
Model29.7%31.1%39.2%
Market53.9%24.6%21.4%
Final47.9%26.3%25.9%
Edge-24.2%+6.5%+17.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aurora ↓ / Real Potosí → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 8% 1 9% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Aurora and Real Potosí expected goals

Aurora 1.03
Real Potosí 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.26

Aurora and Real Potosí attack and defence ratings

Aurora

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Real Potosí

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.55 -45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aurora vs Real Potosí: result vs prediction

Aurora 0 – 0 Real Potosí

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 16 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Aurora vs Real Potosí markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aurora 47.9% 2.09 -24.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.4% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aurora47.9%
Draw26.3%
Real Potosí25.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.3%
Under 2.560.7%
Both teams to scoreYes46.8%
No53.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.1%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)52.1%
Handicap -1Aurora win11.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss70.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.8%
0-111.5%

Aurora vs Real Potosí stats

Aurora and Real Potosí recent form

newest first
Aurora LLDDWD
Real Potosí DWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aurora and Real Potosí going into this match

league record before kick-off

Aurora record

  • They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 18 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Potosí record

  • They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 18 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Aurora vs Real Potosí head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Aurora wins 1Draws 0Real Potosí wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Real PotosíAuroraBolivia Primera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aurora vs Real Potosí odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.1%, draw 24.6%, away 21.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.64 3.80 4.50
1xBet 1.68 3.74 4.22
Bet365 1.70 3.70 4.75
Betano 1.72 3.60 4.25
Betfair 1.67 3.80 4.20
Dafabet 1.72 3.80 4.50
Pinnacle 1.72 3.58 4.06
SBO 1.62 3.52 4.01
Superbet 1.71 3.70 4.25
Unibet 1.58 3.80 4.25
William Hill 1.67 3.50 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 ▼ -0.08
X 3.70 ▲ +0.02
2 4.25 ▲ +0.25

2 snapshots recorded, from .