ABB
vs
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2 – 2 Full time
ABB vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ABB vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
| Probability | ABB | Draw | Gualberto Villarroel SJ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 27.3% | 19.4% |
| Market | 45.5% | 26.0% | 28.5% |
| Final | 47.4% | 26.3% | 26.2% |
| Edge | +7.8% | +1.3% | -9.2% |
Why ABB
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.88.
- The market prices ABB below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ABB and Gualberto Villarroel SJ expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
ABB and Gualberto Villarroel SJ attack and defence ratings
ABB
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ABB vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ: result vs prediction
ABB 2 – 2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
ABB vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ABB | 47.4% | 2.11 | +7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ABB | 47.4% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | ABB win | 29.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 12.2% | |
| 2-0 | 10.7% |
ABB vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ stats
ABB and Gualberto Villarroel SJ recent form
| ABB |
LLWDLL |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ |
LLDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ABB and Gualberto Villarroel SJ going into this match
ABB record
- They have won 5 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ record
- They have won 2 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 17 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
ABB vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | ABB | Bolivia Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-17 | ABB | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | ABB | Bolivia Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ABB vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.6%, draw 25.9%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.77 | 3.80 | 3.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 3.65 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.49 | 3.19 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.29 | 2.85 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 1.93 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .