Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 17

Bolívar vs ABB

4 – 1 Full time

Estadio Hernando Siles, La PazReferee: E. Salazar

Bolívar 77%
Draw 14%
ABB 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bolívar vs ABB overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bolívar vs ABB

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBolívarDrawABB
Model72.8%15.8%11.4%
Market78.2%13.5%8.3%
Final76.9%14.0%9.1%
Edge-5.4%+2.4%+3.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Bolívar

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bolívar ↓ / ABB → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 8% 9% 3 7% 8% 4+ 11% 12% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 2%

Bolívar and ABB expected goals

Bolívar 2.88
ABB 1.12

Total expected goals: 4.00

Bolívar and ABB attack and defence ratings

Bolívar

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.93 -7%

ABB

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bolívar vs ABB: result vs prediction

Bolívar 4 – 1 ABB

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 17 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Bolívar vs ABB markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bolívar 76.9% 1.30 -5.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.2% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.2% 1.56 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.9% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Bolívar win 53.6% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bolívar76.9%
Draw14.0%
ABB9.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.2%
Under 2.523.8%
Both teams to scoreYes64.2%
No35.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.9%
12 (either side)86.0%
X2 (draw or away)23.1%
Handicap -1Bolívar win53.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss27.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.5%
3-18.2%
2-07.6%

Bolívar vs ABB stats

Bolívar and ABB recent form

newest first
Bolívar WLWDWW
ABB DLLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bolívar and ABB going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bolívar record

  • They have won 11 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 17 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

ABB record

  • They have won 5 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bolívar vs ABB head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

3Bolívar wins 0Draws 0ABB wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11ABBBolívarBolivia Primera División0-2
2025-09-20BolívarABBBolivia Primera División3-2
2025-05-04ABBBolívarBolivia Primera División0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bolívar vs ABB odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 78.2%, draw 13.5%, away 8.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.20 6.60 9.00
1xBet 1.11 8.40 11.00
Bet365 1.20 6.50 12.00
Betano 1.21 6.10 9.75
Betfair 1.14 6.50 11.00
Dafabet 1.20 7.00 11.00
Marathonbet 1.11 8.40 11.25
Pinnacle 1.10 8.19 7.40
SBO 1.20 5.42 7.91
Superbet 1.19 6.60 9.10
Unibet 1.11 7.50 12.50
William Hill 1.15 7.50 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.17 ▲ +0.04
X 6.80 ▼ -1.20
2 11.00 ▼ -2.00

2 snapshots recorded, from .