Garuda Lions
Today
Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 17

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá

3 – 1 Full time

Referee: B. Vera

Independiente Petrolero 45%
Draw 26%
Guabirá 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIndependiente PetroleroDrawGuabirá
Model35.0%29.0%36.0%
Market48.6%25.4%26.1%
Final45.2%26.3%28.6%
Edge-13.5%+3.6%+9.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Independiente ↓ / Guabirá → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Independiente Petrolero and Guabirá expected goals

Independiente Petrolero 1.28
Guabirá 1.30

Total expected goals: 2.59

Independiente Petrolero and Guabirá attack and defence ratings

Independiente Petrolero

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Guabirá

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá: result vs prediction

Independiente Petrolero 3 – 1 Guabirá

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 17 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Independiente Petrolero 45.2% 2.21 -13.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.2% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.9% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.0% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Independiente Petrolero45.2%
Draw26.3%
Guabirá28.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.8%
Under 2.552.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.9%
No46.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.4%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)54.8%
Handicap -1Independiente Petrolero win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss65.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-08.8%
0-18.6%

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá stats

Independiente Petrolero and Guabirá recent form

newest first
Independiente Petrolero LWWDWL
Guabirá DWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Independiente Petrolero and Guabirá going into this match

league record before kick-off

Independiente Petrolero record

  • They have won 7 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Guabirá record

  • They have won 7 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Independiente Petrolero wins 4Draws 3Guabirá wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11GuabiráIndependiente PetroleroBolivia Primera División2-2
2026-03-03Independiente PetroleroGuabiráCONMEBOL Sudamericana0-0
2025-12-02Independiente PetroleroGuabiráBolivia Primera División3-1
2025-08-14GuabiráIndependiente PetroleroCopa de la División Profesional3-1
2025-07-01GuabiráIndependiente PetroleroBolivia Primera División1-1
2025-05-21Independiente PetroleroGuabiráCopa de la División Profesional0-1
2024-10-27GuabiráIndependiente PetroleroPrimera División1-2
2024-07-12Independiente PetroleroGuabiráPrimera División0-0
2024-04-08Independiente PetroleroGuabiráPrimera División3-2
2024-02-18GuabiráIndependiente PetroleroPrimera División2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 25.4%, away 26.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.80 3.70 3.60
1xBet 1.88 3.54 3.50
Bet365 1.85 3.70 3.70
BetVictor 1.85 3.70 3.60
Betano 1.87 3.60 3.60
Betfair 1.85 3.75 3.50
Dafabet 1.91 3.75 3.55
Marathonbet 1.89 3.44 3.45
Pinnacle 1.91 3.44 3.45
SBO 1.82 3.43 3.25
Superbet 1.90 3.65 3.45
Unibet 1.96 3.45 3.05
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.88 ▼ -0.16
X 3.60 ▲ +0.05
2 3.50 ▲ +0.33

4 snapshots recorded, from .