Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 17
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
vs
Oriente Petrolero
3 – 3 Full time
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
47%
Draw
25%
Oriente Petrolero
28%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero
| Probability | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.0% | 29.3% | 42.7% |
| Market | 52.8% | 23.7% | 23.4% |
| Final | 46.6% | 25.1% | 28.3% |
| Edge | -24.8% | +5.5% | +19.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
45%
No goals
10%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Oriente Petrolero expected goals
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.09
Oriente Petrolero
1.39
Total expected goals: 2.48
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Oriente Petrolero attack and defence ratings
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Attack
0.69 -31%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Oriente Petrolero
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero: result vs prediction
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3 – 3 Oriente Petrolero
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 46.6% | 2.14 | -24.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 46.6% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Oriente Petrolero | 28.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ win | 11.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.7% | |
| Loss | 72.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.6% |
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero stats
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Oriente Petrolero recent form
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ |
DLLDDW |
| Oriente Petrolero |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Oriente Petrolero going into this match
Gualberto Villarroel SJ record
- They have won 2 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 17 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Oriente Petrolero record
- They have won 8 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 18 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
4Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins
0Draws
5Oriente Petrolero wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Oriente Petrolero | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Oriente Petrolero | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Oriente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional | 6-0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Oriente Petrolero | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Copa de la División Profesional | 4-0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 5-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Oriente Petrolero | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División | 4-2 |
| 2024-08-03 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Oriente Petrolero | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-13 | Oriente Petrolero | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-03 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Oriente Petrolero | Primera División | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 23.7%, away 23.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 3.95 | 3.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.80 | 3.98 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.85 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 3.80 | 3.92 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.91 | 3.76 |
| SBO | 1.63 | 3.72 | 3.73 |
| Superbet | 1.73 | 3.85 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.82 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.73 ▼ -0.12
X
3.85 ▲ +0.10
2
3.90 ▲ +0.42
3 snapshots recorded, from .