Universitario de Vinto
vs
Nacional Potosí
2 – 0 Full time
Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí
| Probability | Universitario de Vinto | Draw | Nacional Potosí |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 26.1% | 45.2% |
| Market | 45.3% | 25.9% | 28.8% |
| Final | 41.2% | 25.9% | 32.9% |
| Edge | -16.6% | +0.2% | +16.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosí expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosí attack and defence ratings
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí: result vs prediction
Universitario de Vinto 2 – 0 Nacional Potosí
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario de Vinto | 41.2% | 2.43 | -16.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario de Vinto | 41.2% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Nacional Potosí | 32.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitario de Vinto win | 12.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.9% | |
| Loss | 71.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 7.4% |
Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí stats
Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosí recent form
| Universitario de Vinto |
LLLLDL |
| Nacional Potosí |
WWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosí going into this match
Universitario de Vinto record
- They have won 4 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 17 matches.
Nacional Potosí record
- They have won 6 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 17 matches.
Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Nacional Potosí | Universitario de Vinto | Bolivia Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Universitario de Vinto | Nacional Potosí | Bolivia Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-22 | Universitario de Vinto | Nacional Potosí | Copa de la División Profesional | 4-3 |
| 2025-10-07 | Nacional Potosí | Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Nacional Potosí | Universitario de Vinto | Bolivia Primera División | 5-1 |
| 2025-03-05 | Universitario de Vinto | Nacional Potosí | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-28 | Universitario de Vinto | Nacional Potosí | Torneo Amistoso de Verano | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-25 | Nacional Potosí | Universitario de Vinto | Torneo Amistoso de Verano | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Nacional Potosí | Universitario de Vinto | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-20 | Universitario de Vinto | Nacional Potosí | Primera División | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.3%, draw 25.9%, away 28.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.36 | 3.31 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.36 | 3.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.38 | 3.30 |
| SBO | 1.99 | 3.31 | 2.88 |
| Superbet | 2.07 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
| Unibet | 1.98 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .