Real Potosí
vs
Real Tomayapo
0 – 1 Full time
Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo
| Probability | Real Potosí | Draw | Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.2% | 21.9% | 6.8% |
| Market | 67.7% | 19.3% | 13.0% |
| Final | 68.6% | 20.0% | 11.4% |
| Edge | +3.5% | +2.6% | -6.1% |
Why Real Potosí
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.42.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Real Potosí below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Potosí and Real Tomayapo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Real Potosí and Real Tomayapo attack and defence ratings
Real Potosí
Real Tomayapo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo: result vs prediction
Real Potosí 0 – 1 Real Tomayapo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ v Oriente Petrolero — match page
- Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí — team news & stats
- San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs The Strongest
- Blooming vs Real Oruro — team news & stats
- Always Ready vs Aurora
- Independiente Petrolero v Guabirá — match page
- Bolívar vs ABB — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Potosí | 68.6% | 1.46 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Real Potosí win | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Potosí | 68.6% |
| Draw | 20.0% | |
| Real Tomayapo | 11.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.4% |
| No | 70.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Potosí win | 44.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.0% | |
| Loss | 28.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.6% |
| 2-0 | 17.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo stats
Real Potosí and Real Tomayapo recent form
| Real Potosí |
DDWWDL |
| Real Tomayapo |
DWLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Potosí and Real Tomayapo going into this match
Real Potosí record
- They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Real Tomayapo record
- They have won 4 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 17 matches.
Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Real Tomayapo | Real Potosí | Bolivia Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-12 | Real Potosí | Real Tomayapo | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2021-04-02 | Real Tomayapo | Real Potosí | Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.7%, draw 19.3%, away 13.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.65 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.37 | 4.70 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 4.75 | 6.44 |
| Superbet | 1.34 | 5.00 | 6.70 |
| Unibet | 1.36 | 4.40 | 6.10 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .