Bolivia Primera División · 2026-09-05T19:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Apertura - 18

Guabirá vs Real Potosí

1 – 1 Full time

24′			Cristian Vedia
38′			Juan Carlos Parada
45′			Jorge Rojas
46′			Pablo MelgarYuto Baigorria
46′			Juan Carlos ParadaSergio Gil
48′			Sergio Gil
59′			Victor ÁbregoMakerlo Tellez
60′			Gerardo Maximiliano GómezErlan Boris Condori
66′			Sergio Gil
71′			Samuel GarzonThiago Ribeiro
71′			Jairo ThomasVladimir Castellón
71′			Jeferson RivasIgor Soares
78′			RafinhaAndrés Moreno
78′			Jorge RojasStiven Plaza
80′			Vladimir Castellón
83′			Andrés Moreno
90′			Joaquín Barro
90′			Fran Supayabe

Estadio Gilberto Parada, MonteroReferee: D. Rodriguez

Guabirá

49%

Draw

26%

Real Potosí

25%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	6
4	Shots on target	1
66	Possession %	34
7	Corners	2
10	Fouls	10
4	Offsides	4
0	Saves	3
436	Accurate passes	182

Guabirá vs Real Potosí overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Guabirá vs Real Potosí

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Guabirá	Draw	Real Potosí
Model	40.0%	32.7%	27.3%
Market	52.1%	23.6%	24.3%
Final	49.1%	25.9%	25.1%
Edge	-12.0%	+9.1%	+3.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Guabirá

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

86%

2+ goals

62%

3+ goals

34%

No goals

14%

Guabirá and Real Potosí expected goals

Guabirá

1.15

Real Potosí

0.90

Total expected goals: 2.06

Guabirá and Real Potosí attack and defence ratings

Guabirá

Attack

1.02 +2%

Defence

0.89 -11%

Real Potosí

Attack

0.78 -22%

Defence

0.54 -46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Guabirá vs Real Potosí: result vs prediction

Guabirá 1 – 1 Real Potosí

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 18 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo · 2026-09-04
ABB v Universitario de Vinto — match page · 2026-09-04
Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 2026-09-05
Oriente Petrolero v Always Ready — match page · 2026-09-05
Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo · 2026-09-06
Nacional Potosí v Blooming — match page · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

Guabirá, previous: Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá prediction
Guabirá, next: Always Ready vs Guabirá: odds and pick
Real Potosí, previous: Real Potosí – Real Tomayapo, 2026-08-26
Real Potosí, next: Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero: odds and pick

Guabirá vs Real Potosí markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Guabirá	49.1%	2.04	-12.0%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	66.1%	1.51	—	—
Both teams to score	No	57.9%	1.73	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	74.9%	1.33	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	60.0%	1.67	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Guabirá	49.1%
	Draw	25.9%
	Real Potosí	25.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	33.9%
	Under 2.5	66.1%
Both teams to score	Yes	42.1%
	No	57.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	74.9%
	12 (either side)	74.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	50.9%
Handicap -1	Guabirá win	17.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.5%
	Loss	60.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.7%
	0-0	14.1%
	1-0	13.4%

Guabirá vs Real Potosí stats

Guabirá and Real Potosí recent form

newest first

Guabirá	LDWWWD
Real Potosí	LDDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Guabirá and Real Potosí going into this match

league record before kick-off

Guabirá record

They have won 7 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

Real Potosí record

They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 18 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Guabirá vs Real Potosí head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Guabirá wins 1Draws 4Real Potosí wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-22	Real Potosí	Guabirá	Bolivia Primera División	3-0
2021-12-05	Real Potosí	Guabirá	Primera División	1-3
2021-08-09	Guabirá	Real Potosí	Primera División	3-0
2020-12-31	Guabirá	Real Potosí	Primera División	4-0
2020-11-27	Real Potosí	Guabirá	Primera División	0-1
2019-11-30	Real Potosí	Guabirá	Primera División	1-0
2019-08-03	Guabirá	Real Potosí	Primera División	0-1
2019-03-31	Guabirá	Real Potosí	Primera División	2-1
2019-01-19	Real Potosí	Guabirá	Primera División	3-1
2018-11-29	Guabirá	Real Potosí	Primera División	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Guabirá vs Real Potosí odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.4%, draw 23.7%, away 24.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.73	3.90	3.78
Bet365	1.83	3.60	3.75
BetVictor	1.80	3.80	3.90
Betano	1.75	3.70	4.00
Betfair	1.73	4.00	3.80
Dafabet	1.74	3.90	4.10
Marathonbet	1.71	3.90	3.72
Pinnacle	1.74	4.03	3.47
Superbet	1.73	3.80	4.00
Unibet	1.57	3.85	4.20
William Hill	1.75	3.60	3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 —

X 3.85 ▲ +0.10

2 3.74 ▼ -0.10

6 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-03T08:10:02Z.