Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 18
Independiente Petrolero
vs
Bolívar
0 – 4 Full time
| 10′ | Gustavo Mendoza | ||
| 24′ | B. Arce | ||
| 39′ | Rodrigo Zamora | ||
| 43′ | D. Romero | ||
| 46′ | C. UrdinineaJeferson Carioca | ||
| 54′ | Rodrigo Zamora | ||
| 54′ | Rodrigo Zamora | ||
| 58′ | G. AlvarezA. Mercado | ||
| 58′ | G. CristaldoS. Torres | ||
| 61′ | Willie | ||
| 63′ | Alan Mercado | ||
| 70′ | Saúl Torres | ||
| 73′ | WillieD. Navarro | ||
| 75′ | B. Arce | ||
| 78′ | B. ArceJ. Garcia | ||
| 78′ | J. VelasquezC. Sejas | ||
| 82′ | D. RomeroD. Batallini | ||
| 82′ | L. JustinianoB. Miranda | ||
| 82′ | D. AsprillaM. Cauteruccio | ||
| 86′ | B. Miranda |
Independiente Petrolero
24%
Draw
23%
Bolívar
53%
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 198 | Accurate passes | 390 |
Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar
| Probability | Independiente Petrolero | Draw | Bolívar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 25.7% | 36.8% |
| Market | 19.1% | 22.2% | 58.7% |
| Final | 23.7% | 23.1% | 53.2% |
| Edge | +18.4% | +3.6% | -21.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Independiente Petrolero and Bolívar expected goals
Independiente Petrolero
1.58
Bolívar
1.57
Total expected goals: 3.15
Independiente Petrolero and Bolívar attack and defence ratings
Independiente Petrolero
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Bolívar
Attack
1.34 +34%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar: result vs prediction
Independiente Petrolero 0 – 4 Bolívar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bolívar | 53.2% | 1.88 | -21.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Independiente Petrolero | 23.7% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Bolívar | 53.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% |
| No | 36.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bolívar win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar stats
Independiente Petrolero and Bolívar recent form
| Independiente Petrolero |
WLWWDW |
| Bolívar |
WWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Independiente Petrolero and Bolívar going into this match
Independiente Petrolero record
- They have won 7 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Bolívar record
- They have won 11 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Independiente Petrolero wins
1Draws
6Bolívar wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar | Bolivia Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar | Copa de la División Profesional | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-04 | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional | 2-3 |
| 2025-07-07 | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 4-0 |
| 2024-09-26 | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | Primera División | 5-1 |
| 2023-05-14 | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-01 | Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.1%, draw 21.6%, away 59.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.96 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.33 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 4.70 | 4.40 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.60 | 1.52 |
| Marathonbet | 4.90 | 4.10 | 1.51 |
| Pinnacle | 4.46 | 4.13 | 1.56 |
| Superbet | 4.70 | 4.45 | 1.52 |
| Unibet | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.78 ▼ -0.02
X
4.12 ▼ -0.29
2
1.56 ▲ +0.06
8 snapshots recorded, from .