Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 18
The Strongest
vs
Real Tomayapo
3 – 1 Full time
| 13′ | Denilzon Ramallo | ||
| 24′ | J. Arrascaita | ||
| 27′ | Jesús Velasquez | ||
| 41′ | Saavedra | ||
| 64′ | C. ArabeJ. Guerra | ||
| 64′ | R. EguezR. Cuellar Orti | ||
| 64′ | J. SenzanoY. Espindola | ||
| 68′ | C. VenturaPachu | ||
| 69′ | J. WelchK. F. Salvatierra Flores | ||
| 69′ | L. S. MontenegroJ. Ribera | ||
| 76′ | K. F. Salvatierra Flores | ||
| 77′ | Y. AlvarezJ. Mamani | ||
| 78′ | J. ArrascaitaV. Cuellar | ||
| 83′ | G. SotomayorK. Adin Chacon Arrascayta | ||
| 83′ | F. QuaglioJ. Cuellar | ||
| 90′ | Martín Chiatti | ||
| 90′ | César Luis Aguilera Romero | ||
| 90′ | D. Robles |
The Strongest
75%
Draw
16%
Real Tomayapo
8%
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 432 | Accurate passes | 298 |
The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo
| Probability | The Strongest | Draw | Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.6% | 21.1% | 10.3% |
| Market | 77.4% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| Final | 75.2% | 16.4% | 8.4% |
| Edge | -8.8% | +6.3% | +2.5% |
Why The Strongest
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
7%
The Strongest and Real Tomayapo expected goals
The Strongest
2.05
Real Tomayapo
0.68
Total expected goals: 2.73
The Strongest and Real Tomayapo attack and defence ratings
The Strongest
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Real Tomayapo
Attack
0.63 -37%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo: result vs prediction
The Strongest 3 – 1 Real Tomayapo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The Strongest | 75.2% | 1.33 | -8.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | The Strongest win | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The Strongest | 75.2% |
| Draw | 16.4% | |
| Real Tomayapo | 8.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.0% |
| No | 56.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | The Strongest win | 44.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 31.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.0% |
The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo stats
The Strongest and Real Tomayapo recent form
| The Strongest |
WWLLWD |
| Real Tomayapo |
WDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
The Strongest and Real Tomayapo going into this match
The Strongest record
- They have won 9 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Tomayapo record
- They have won 4 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 17 matches.
The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4The Strongest wins
3Draws
3Real Tomayapo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Real Tomayapo | The Strongest | Bolivia Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Real Tomayapo | The Strongest | Bolivia Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Real Tomayapo | The Strongest | Copa de la División Profesional | 3-3 |
| 2025-07-12 | The Strongest | Real Tomayapo | Bolivia Primera División | 6-0 |
| 2025-04-30 | The Strongest | Real Tomayapo | Copa de la División Profesional | 5-0 |
| 2024-12-10 | The Strongest | Real Tomayapo | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Real Tomayapo | The Strongest | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-14 | Real Tomayapo | The Strongest | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-02 | The Strongest | Real Tomayapo | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-06 | Real Tomayapo | The Strongest | Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.4%, draw 14.8%, away 7.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 6.15 | 13.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 6.25 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 6.50 | 11.50 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 6.15 | 12.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19 | 6.42 | 8.96 |
| Unibet | 1.22 | 5.40 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 5.50 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.19 ▲ +0.02
X
6.20 ▼ -0.02
2
11.75 ▼ -0.75
6 snapshots recorded, from .