Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 19

The Strongest vs Real Oruro

5 – 0 Full time

20′D. Lom
37′A. Arancibia
40′A. Estacio
46′J. P. GomezE. Rivera
46′F. GattiJ. Montenegro
53′D. Lom
69′A. Estacio
71′A. EstacioW. Saucedo
71′J. ArrascaitaK. F. Salvatierra Flores
71′SaavedraJ. Cuellar
75′E. Rivera
78′G. Sotomayor
79′D. LomC. Roca
79′F. QuaglioK. Adin Chacon Arrascayta
85′D. PintoJ. Ari Cruz
85′L. CoruloL. Martinez

Estadio Hernando Siles, La PazReferee: R. Mamani

The Strongest 73%
Draw 16%
Real Oruro 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

The Strongest vs Real Oruro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: The Strongest vs Real Oruro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityThe StrongestDrawReal Oruro
Model74.0%15.3%10.6%
Market73.2%16.0%10.8%
Final73.4%15.9%10.7%
Edge+0.8%-0.7%-0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why The Strongest

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.92 vs 1.10.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

The Strongest ↓ / Real Oruro → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 8% 8% 3 7% 8% 4+ 11% 12% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 2%

The Strongest and Real Oruro expected goals

The Strongest 2.92
Real Oruro 1.10

Total expected goals: 4.02

The Strongest and Real Oruro attack and defence ratings

The Strongest

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Real Oruro

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

The Strongest vs Real Oruro: result vs prediction

The Strongest 5 – 0 Real Oruro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 19 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

The Strongest vs Real Oruro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 The Strongest 73.4% 1.36 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.4% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.3% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 The Strongest win 54.8% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2The Strongest73.4%
Draw15.9%
Real Oruro10.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.4%
Under 2.523.6%
Both teams to scoreYes63.6%
No36.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.3%
12 (either side)84.1%
X2 (draw or away)26.6%
Handicap -1The Strongest win54.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss26.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.4%
3-18.2%
2-07.7%

The Strongest vs Real Oruro stats

The Strongest and Real Oruro recent form

newest first
The Strongest WWWLLW
Real Oruro WDLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

The Strongest and Real Oruro going into this match

league record before kick-off

The Strongest record

  • They have won 10 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 18 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 18 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Oruro record

  • They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

The Strongest vs Real Oruro head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4The Strongest wins 1Draws 1Real Oruro wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Real OruroThe StrongestBolivia Primera División2-3
2026-03-25The StrongestReal OruroFriendlies Clubs4-1
2025-11-22The StrongestReal OruroBolivia Primera División2-1
2025-07-03The StrongestReal OruroCopa de la División Profesional0-1
2025-06-14Real OruroThe StrongestBolivia Primera División1-2
2025-05-23Real OruroThe StrongestCopa de la División Profesional1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

The Strongest vs Real Oruro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.2%, draw 15.4%, away 10.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.23 5.65 9.10
Bet365 1.25 6.00 9.50
BetVictor 1.22 6.00 9.00
Betano 1.28 5.70 7.70
Betfair 1.20 6.00 8.50
Dafabet 1.19 6.80 11.00
Marathonbet 1.22 5.65 8.80
Pinnacle 1.26 5.91 6.85
SBO 1.26 5.22 6.28
Superbet 1.18 6.70 9.40
William Hill 1.25 5.00 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▲ +0.07
X 5.70 ▼ -0.67
2 8.50 ▼ -1.75

6 snapshots recorded, from .