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Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 19

Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosí

0 – 3 Full time

45′Weslen Junior
46′R. FerrufinoR. Monteiro
46′R. OrihuelaL. Zeballos
46′Matheus MorescheJ. Goyeneche
46′Weslen JuniorM. Solis
55′T. TobarW. Alvarez
61′M. Nunez
64′C. RiberaG. Vaca
64′M. TomianovicS. Alvarez
81′M. Nunez
81′E. QuispeZ. Teran
85′L. PaviaJuan Batista
85′M. NunezC. Abastoflor
90′W. Alvarez

Referee: I. N. Mendez Chavez

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 35%
Draw 26%
Nacional Potosí 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosí overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosí

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGualberto Villarroel SJDrawNacional Potosí
Model37.2%29.0%33.8%
Market34.7%25.6%39.7%
Final35.3%26.5%38.2%
Edge+2.5%+3.4%-5.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Nacional Potosí

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gualberto Vill ↓ / Nacional Potos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Nacional Potosí expected goals

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1.32
Nacional Potosí 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.57

Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Nacional Potosí attack and defence ratings

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Nacional Potosí

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosí: result vs prediction

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0 – 3 Nacional Potosí

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 19 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosí markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nacional Potosí 38.2% 2.62 -5.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.5% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.2% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gualberto Villarroel SJ35.3%
Draw26.5%
Nacional Potosí38.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.8%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)64.7%
Handicap -1Nacional Potosí win15.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss66.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-08.9%
1-08.8%

Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosí stats

Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Nacional Potosí recent form

newest first
Gualberto Villarroel SJ LDDLLD
Nacional Potosí WLWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Nacional Potosí going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gualberto Villarroel SJ record

  • They have won 2 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 18 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

Nacional Potosí record

  • They have won 7 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 18 matches.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosí head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins 1Draws 2Nacional Potosí wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25Nacional PotosíGualberto Villarroel SJBolivia Primera División1-1
2025-11-26Gualberto Villarroel SJNacional PotosíCopa de la División Profesional3-1
2025-11-18Nacional PotosíGualberto Villarroel SJCopa de la División Profesional3-0
2025-09-24Nacional PotosíGualberto Villarroel SJBolivia Primera División1-2
2025-06-01Gualberto Villarroel SJNacional PotosíBolivia Primera División1-0
2024-12-09Gualberto Villarroel SJNacional PotosíPrimera División2-1
2024-08-17Nacional PotosíGualberto Villarroel SJPrimera División2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosí odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.9%, draw 25.7%, away 39.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.59 3.52 2.27
Bet365 2.60 3.60 2.38
BetVictor 2.70 3.50 2.38
Betano 2.60 3.65 2.32
Betfair 2.63 3.50 2.20
Dafabet 2.15 3.65 2.95
Marathonbet 2.59 3.52 2.27
Pinnacle 2.58 3.65 2.26
SBO 2.77 3.20 2.09
Superbet 2.15 3.55 2.90
Unibet 2.04 3.40 2.88
William Hill 2.70 3.30 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▲ +0.45
X 3.52 ▼ -0.03
2 2.27 ▼ -0.61

6 snapshots recorded, from .