Bolivia Primera División · 2026-09-14T00:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Apertura - 19

Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar

1 – 2 Full time

30′			J. Velasquez
35′			J. Velasquez
60′			J. Guerra
61′			C. A. Melgar
66′			L. S. Montenegro
71′			L. S. MontenegroM. G. Barbery Gil
72′			D. RomeroM. Cauteruccio
72′			S. EcheverriaRobson Matheus
72′			B. ArceD. Batallini
74′			M. G. Barbery Gil
86′			R. EguezR. Cuellar Orti
86′			Y. AlvarezJ. Ribera
86′			C. A. MelgarE. Vaca Moreno
86′			L. JustinianoB. Miranda
90′			D. Asprilla
90′			D. Asprilla

Estadio IV Centenario, TarijaReferee: D. Rodriguez

Real Tomayapo

19%

Draw

22%

Bolívar

59%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

14	Shots	16
6	Shots on target	4
30	Possession %	70
4	Corners	3
6	Fouls	9
1	Offsides	1
2	Saves	5
184	Accurate passes	516

Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Real Tomayapo	Draw	Bolívar
Model	20.1%	24.2%	55.8%
Market	18.1%	21.4%	60.5%
Final	18.6%	22.1%	59.3%
Edge	+1.9%	+2.8%	-4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Bolívar

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.08.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

81%

3+ goals

57%

No goals

Real Tomayapo and Bolívar expected goals

Real Tomayapo

1.08

Bolívar

1.90

Total expected goals: 2.99

Real Tomayapo and Bolívar attack and defence ratings

Real Tomayapo

Attack

0.64 -36%

Defence

1.02 +2%

Bolívar

Attack

1.44 +44%

Defence

0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar: result vs prediction

Real Tomayapo 1 – 2 Bolívar

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 19 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

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Gualberto Villarroel SJ v Nacional Potosí — match page · 2026-09-12
The Strongest vs Real Oruro — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Blooming vs ABB · 2026-09-12
Always Ready v Guabirá — match page · 2026-09-13
Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero — team news & stats · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Real Tomayapo, previous: The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo prediction
Real Tomayapo, next: Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero: odds and pick
Bolívar, previous: Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar: odds and pick
Bolívar, next: Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ prediction

Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Bolívar	59.3%	1.69	-4.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.6%	1.74	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	57.4%	1.74	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	81.4%	1.23	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	44.6%	2.24	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Real Tomayapo	18.6%
	Draw	22.1%
	Bolívar	59.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.6%
	Under 2.5	42.4%
Both teams to score	Yes	57.4%
	No	42.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	40.7%
	12 (either side)	77.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	81.4%
Handicap -1	Bolívar win	32.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.5%
	Loss	44.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.4%
	1-2	9.9%
	0-2	9.2%

Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar stats

Real Tomayapo and Bolívar recent form

newest first

Real Tomayapo	LWDWLL
Bolívar	WWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Tomayapo and Bolívar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Tomayapo record

They have won 4 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Bolívar record

They have won 12 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
They have kept 5 clean sheets in 18 matches.
They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Real Tomayapo wins 1Draws 7Bolívar wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-26	Bolívar	Real Tomayapo	Bolivia Primera División	6-0
2025-10-28	Bolívar	Real Tomayapo	Copa de la División Profesional	5-1
2025-10-22	Real Tomayapo	Bolívar	Copa de la División Profesional	2-7
2025-08-10	Bolívar	Real Tomayapo	Bolivia Primera División	5-0
2025-04-06	Real Tomayapo	Bolívar	Bolivia Primera División	2-1
2024-11-21	Real Tomayapo	Bolívar	Primera División	2-2
2024-05-19	Bolívar	Real Tomayapo	Primera División	4-1
2023-12-01	Bolívar	Real Tomayapo	Primera División	4-1
2023-11-02	Bolívar	Real Tomayapo	Copa de la División Profesional	2-1
2023-07-21	Real Tomayapo	Bolívar	Copa de la División Profesional	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.1%, draw 21.4%, away 60.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	5.43	4.25	1.47
Bet365	5.25	4.10	1.55
BetVictor	5.00	4.40	1.50
Betano	4.70	4.35	1.55
Betfair	5.00	4.40	1.44
Marathonbet	5.25	4.25	1.46
Pinnacle	4.89	4.33	1.49
SBO	4.47	3.90	1.50
Unibet	4.70	4.00	1.50
William Hill	5.00	3.90	1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.00 ▼ -1.35

X 4.25 ▼ -0.42

2 1.50 ▲ +0.13

8 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-10T08:10:01Z.