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Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 20

Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero

0 – 2 Full time

24′Jorge Eduardo Lovera
31′denilzon ramallo
42′Nabil Nacif Joffre
45′Ruan·Costa de FreitasRamiro Eguez
45′Lisandro Sebastián MontenegroYordy Álvarez
45′Javier GuerraRonald Cuellar
57′Joffre·Escobar
58′Nabil Nacif JoffreMatías Roskopf
58′Jorge Eduardo Lovera
71′Jorge Eduardo LoveraJulio·Herrera
72′Alexis RiberaMario Barbery
72′Ricardo Suárez AnteloAlejandro Cervantes
83′Joffre·EscobarOctavio Perdomo
83′Franz·Gonzales MejiaManuel Alejandro Bonilla Ribera
89′Mizael Sadoque Pinto Monteiro

Estadio IV Centenario, TarijaReferee: J. Revollo

Real Tomayapo 36%
Draw 26%
Oriente Petrolero 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
5 Corners 6
18 Fouls 28
1 Offsides 2
1 Saves 3
322 Accurate passes 162

Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal TomayapoDrawOriente Petrolero
Model31.5%27.4%41.1%
Market37.0%26.1%36.9%
Final35.6%26.4%38.0%
Edge-5.5%+1.3%+4.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Oriente Petrolero

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Oriente Petrolero below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Tomayapo ↓ / Oriente Petrol → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Real Tomayapo and Oriente Petrolero expected goals

Real Tomayapo 1.30
Oriente Petrolero 1.51

Total expected goals: 2.81

Real Tomayapo and Oriente Petrolero attack and defence ratings

Real Tomayapo

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Oriente Petrolero

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero: result vs prediction

Real Tomayapo 0 – 2 Oriente Petrolero

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 20 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Oriente Petrolero 38.0% 2.63 +4.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.3% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.9% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Tomayapo35.6%
Draw26.4%
Oriente Petrolero38.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.3%
Under 2.546.7%
Both teams to scoreYes57.9%
No42.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.0%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)64.4%
Handicap -1Oriente Petrolero win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss58.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-28.9%
0-17.9%

Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero stats

Real Tomayapo and Oriente Petrolero recent form

newest first
Real Tomayapo LLWDWL
Oriente Petrolero LLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Tomayapo and Oriente Petrolero going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Tomayapo record

  • They have won 4 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Oriente Petrolero record

  • They have won 8 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).

Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Real Tomayapo wins 1Draws 6Oriente Petrolero wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Oriente PetroleroReal TomayapoBolivia Primera División3-1
2026-03-01Oriente PetroleroReal TomayapoFriendlies Clubs5-1
2026-02-21Real TomayapoOriente PetroleroFriendlies Clubs1-3
2025-12-03Real TomayapoOriente PetroleroBolivia Primera División1-0
2025-06-28Oriente PetroleroReal TomayapoBolivia Primera División2-1
2024-12-21Real TomayapoOriente PetroleroPrimera División4-3
2024-09-21Oriente PetroleroReal TomayapoPrimera División4-2
2023-08-15Real TomayapoOriente PetroleroCopa de la División Profesional1-0
2023-08-13Oriente PetroleroReal TomayapoPrimera División2-0
2023-03-12Real TomayapoOriente PetroleroPrimera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.0%, draw 26.1%, away 36.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.44 3.34 2.44
Bet365 2.40 3.70 2.50
BetVictor 2.45 3.50 2.50
Betano 2.45 3.55 2.50
Betfair 2.45 3.50 2.45
Marathonbet 2.44 3.34 2.44
Pinnacle 2.45 3.45 2.46
William Hill 2.50 3.25 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▲ +0.53
X 3.48 ▼ -0.22
2 2.46 ▼ -0.73

6 snapshots recorded, from .