Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 20

Real Oruro vs Real Potosí

0 – 2 Full time

37′Luis Alí
42′William Arnol Fernández Mamani
45′Cristian LópezJose Andres Alipaz
45′Erlan Boris Condori GalvarroJ. Thomas
56′Juan Pablo Riojasaul severiche
56′William Arnol Fernández MamaniEdgar Daniel Cuellar Montero
67′A. BravoDenis Pinto
72′Luis AlíJeferson Rivas Tirado
78′Juan MontenegroAngel Quiñonez
80′Ademar Rivera Sifuentes
84′C. Chore
90′Jeferson Rivas Tirado

Referee: C. Arteaga

Real Oruro 29%
Draw 27%
Real Potosí 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
59 Possession % 41
8 Corners 9
14 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 5
3 Saves 4
292 Accurate passes 198

Real Oruro vs Real Potosí overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Oruro vs Real Potosí

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal OruroDrawReal Potosí
Model27.3%28.9%43.8%
Market29.0%27.0%44.1%
Final28.5%27.5%44.0%
Edge-1.7%+2.0%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Real Potosí

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 1.08.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Oruro ↓ / Real Potosí → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Real Oruro and Real Potosí expected goals

Real Oruro 1.08
Real Potosí 1.43

Total expected goals: 2.51

Real Oruro and Real Potosí attack and defence ratings

Real Oruro

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Real Potosí

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.56 -44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Oruro vs Real Potosí: result vs prediction

Real Oruro 0 – 2 Real Potosí

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 20 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Real Oruro vs Real Potosí markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Potosí 44.0% 2.27 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.5% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.2% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Oruro28.5%
Draw27.5%
Real Potosí44.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.9%
Under 2.554.1%
Both teams to scoreYes51.5%
No48.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.0%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)71.5%
Handicap -1Real Potosí win21.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss56.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-110.3%
0-09.4%

Real Oruro vs Real Potosí stats

Real Oruro and Real Potosí recent form

newest first
Real Oruro LWDLLW
Real Potosí WDLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Oruro and Real Potosí going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Oruro record

  • They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Real Potosí record

  • They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Real Oruro vs Real Potosí head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Real Oruro wins 0Draws 0Real Potosí wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-01Real PotosíReal OruroBolivia Primera División1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Oruro vs Real Potosí odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.0%, draw 27.0%, away 44.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.20 3.35 2.02
Bet365 3.50 3.25 2.10
BetVictor 3.10 3.60 2.05
Betano 3.25 3.30 2.07
Betfair 2.88 3.60 2.10
Marathonbet 3.12 3.35 2.00
Pinnacle 3.15 3.47 2.00
SBO 2.78 3.33 2.04
William Hill 3.10 3.25 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.12 ▲ +0.12
X 3.35 ▼ -0.18
2 2.05 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .