Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 20
Guabirá
vs
Aurora
3 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | C. Anez | ||
| 8′ | M. Tellez | ||
| 35′ | Henry Vaca | ||
| 45′ | Sergio Gil | ||
| 45′ | Ivan Huayhuata | ||
| 45′ | A. Terrazas | ||
| 52′ | G. Peredo | ||
| 53′ | M. TellezJ. Parada | ||
| 54′ | T. ChavezY. Baigorria | ||
| 62′ | G. PeredoV. Abrego | ||
| 65′ | A. TerrazasH. Mojica | ||
| 65′ | I. HuayhuataH. Sanchez | ||
| 65′ | J. TorricoM. Ortiz | ||
| 65′ | H. VacaA. Pacheco | ||
| 69′ | Juan Carlos Parada | ||
| 72′ | Thiago RibeiroA. Moreno | ||
| 72′ | S. GarzonM. Maciel | ||
| 79′ | L. BarroS. Altamirano | ||
| 88′ | Milton Maciel |
Guabirá
44%
Draw
26%
Aurora
30%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 189 | Accurate passes | 297 |
Guabirá vs Aurora overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guabirá vs Aurora
| Probability | Guabirá | Draw | Aurora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 26.6% | 32.3% |
| Market | 45.5% | 25.6% | 28.9% |
| Final | 44.4% | 25.9% | 29.8% |
| Edge | -4.4% | +1.0% | +3.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Guabirá and Aurora expected goals
Guabirá
1.58
Aurora
1.38
Total expected goals: 2.95
Guabirá and Aurora attack and defence ratings
Guabirá
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Aurora
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Guabirá vs Aurora: result vs prediction
Guabirá 3 – 1 Aurora
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 20 fixtures
- Real Oruro v Real Potosí — match page
- ABB vs The Strongest — team news & stats
- Nacional Potosí v Always Ready — match page
- Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto — team news & stats
- Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero
- Bolívar v Gualberto Villarroel SJ — match page
- Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Guabirá vs Aurora markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guabirá | 44.4% | 2.25 | -4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guabirá | 44.4% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Aurora | 29.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guabirá win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Guabirá vs Aurora stats
Guabirá and Aurora recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guabirá and Aurora going into this match
Guabirá record
- They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Aurora record
- They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Guabirá vs Aurora head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Guabirá wins
2Draws
4Aurora wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Aurora | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División | 4-2 |
| 2025-10-28 | Aurora | Guabirá | Copa de la División Profesional | 4-0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Guabirá | Aurora | Copa de la División Profesional | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Aurora | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Guabirá | Aurora | Bolivia Primera División | 5-2 |
| 2024-09-29 | Aurora | Guabirá | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Guabirá | Aurora | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Guabirá | Aurora | Copa de la División Profesional | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-09 | Aurora | Guabirá | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2023-07-12 | Aurora | Guabirá | Copa de la División Profesional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Guabirá vs Aurora odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 25.6%, away 28.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.48 | 3.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.55 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.48 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.57 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.97 ▲ +0.40
X
3.50 ▼ -0.40
2
3.10 ▼ -1.55
4 snapshots recorded, from .